Giants vs. Red Sox betting preview: Logan Webb and Sonny Gray both locked in for under play
It was not an overly impressive preseason betting day from me, but it was still profitable. I took the 1st quarter to be tied in the Chargers and 49ers game. I wasn't watching as it happened, and I checked the score in the second quarter, seeing it was 17-3. I figured my bet was toast, but it was 0-0 after the first quarter, giving us a +285 winner. Unfortunately, the Raiders had a really rough start, so I lost that bet. We are going to head back to the diamond for today's betting options.
The San Francisco Giants have had a season to forget. It isn't just one stretch of bad games that has caused them to struggle this season; it has been a full year of bad baseball. Why is a team with strong talent and some good names on the roster so bad? They are near the bottom of the league in walks, home runs, runs in general, and they have a rough bullpen. Some of these issues, individually, could be overcome, but with everything combined, the team has struggled. They are 23 games under .500, and if it weren't for the Rockies, they almost certainly would be last in the division.
One bright spot for the club, almost as always, is today's starter, Logan Webb. For the season, he is 8-7 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. He is once again racking up innings for the Giants with 139 this season. In order to throw a ton of innings, not only do you have to be healthy, but you have to be consistent. Webb really doesn't have any drastic splits aside from his night starts vs. day, as he has a 4.56 ERA at night compared to 2.25 during the day. He also has alternated good months with bad ones. In March, he had a 7.36 ERA, then in April it dropped to 3.27. In May, it was 7.56, before he had a 0.71 ERA in June. Finally, in July, he had a 6.59 ERA, and it is just 0.90 in August. Red Sox hitters are batting .324 in 34 at-bats against him.
The Boston Red Sox were a disaster like the Giants and then had a complete turnaround, becoming one of the hottest and best teams in baseball. They are in one of their colder stretches at the moment, having lost eight of their past 12 games. It may come as a bit of a surprise, but the team is also still under .500 at home this season. They are among the best teams in baseball with a .250 batting average, and their pitching has been surprisingly strong with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.
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One of their best pitchers is Sonny Gray, the hurler who takes the ball tonight. Overall, Gray is 15-3 with a 2.65 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. His ERA is the ninth-best in baseball. Gray has been outstanding at home this season with a 2.45 ERA in Boston. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 20 of his 23 starts. This month has probably been the best of the season, with him throwing three quality starts and allowing just two earned runs. Giants hitters haven't done well against Gray, with a .227 average over 66 at-bats.
I didn't even mention that this is the return of Rafael Devers to Boston. It should be interesting to see how the Boston faithful treat him. He did a lot of good, but also was not really a team player at the end of his run there. They've also had success since they dealt him, so they should be happy. He has done well against Gray, so it is possible he does some damage.
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The line is moving in favor if the Giants, but I'm not quite sure I understand why. Although the quantity of at-bats isn't very high, Boston hitters have done well against Webb. The thing is, both of these starters are locked in right now. Webb has been great in August, and Gray might even be better. The total is at 8 right now, and I think that's too high. Give me the under.
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