Milwaukee Brewers face San Diego Padres as Logan Henderson looks to extend dominant road stretch
We are at the time of the year when it makes sense to check in on your baseball future bets. I would need to go through every article I wrote about every team to see what I got right and what I got wrong. I don't normally bet a lot of baseball futures because they just take too long to cash, but the few I have look good. Some player props should cash easily, and some of the division bets will hopefully pay off. Before we get there, though, we still have about 40 games remaining for most teams, including tonight's game between the Brewers and Padres.
The Milwaukee Brewers are the best team in baseball. Stop me if you've heard this before. It really doesn't matter what the Brewers do; they seemingly always have a great regular season. Hat tip to them, because they've built their team the right way. Just to put things in perspective, these are guys who have left the organization in the past few seasons: Freddy Peralta, Corbin Burnes, Josh Hader, Willy Adames, Craig Counsell, and you can count Brandon Woodruff if you want to include losing him to a season-ending injury this year. Multiple All-Star pitchers, a solid hitter, and a well-regarded manager, and they haven't missed a beat.
They still have plenty of talent, and they tend to focus on young guys who can be controllable. It helps that their minor league system has a lot of talent, but they also do a good job of developing guys. One of them is Logan Henderson, who is having a nice stretch in the big leagues. Henderson is 6-1 for the season with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP. He has racked up 62 strikeouts in 50 innings of work. He has never faced the Padres in his young career. He's been good on the road, and of the seven homers he has allowed this season, just one was on the road.
The San Diego Padres are doing basically what they always do, as well. They have a solid squad, but they underperform and make the entire season a challenge. They are five games above .500 and currently sit one game behind the Phillies for the final Wild Card spot. Surprisingly, the Diamondbacks are ahead of them at the moment. The concern for the Padres has to be that they have a -10 run differential. The Phillies are even, but if the season ended today with them making the postseason, only San Diego and anyone from the AL West would have a negative differential.
They've tried to address that a bit with their trade deadline moves for some pitching. One of those pitchers is today's hurler, Casey Mize. For the season, Mize is 4-7 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. He was rocked in his debut for the Padres, allowing eight earned runs in 3.1 innings of work. He had three walks and nine hits allowed, with just one strikeout as well. He faced the Brewers earlier this season with the Tigers and allowed just one run on three hits over six innings with seven strikeouts. Overall, the Brewers hitters are hitting just 9-for-39 against him.
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Mize is a solid pitcher, and I do think he will make the adjustments needed to not give up eight runs. The Padres are a bit more trustworthy at home than they are on the road. However, the more consistent pitcher has been Henderson. Milwaukee is also playing really good baseball at the moment. The advantage the Padres have is that they are keeping the home stand going. I don't think that's enough against this strong Brewers club. Give me the Brewers to win.
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