Republicans are Making Historic Gains With Black Voters

I just ran across something Harry Enten, CNN’s Chief Data Analyst, discussed with CNN Anchor Kate Bolduan. Enten is not only a font of information, especially in placing data in context, he is also wildly entertaining. His take on President Trump and the Republican Party’s inroads into African American vote is absolutely fascination.

Not so long ago, the African-American community was an almost monolithic Democrat constituency. That is changing, and the reason is Trump. (All quotes are from CNN’s official transcripts.)

Bolduan begins by asking about Trump’s standing with African-American voters now versus what it was at this point in his first term.

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Yes. I think what we’re seeing right now in the numbers is President Trump and the Republican Party are chipping away at the long-term advantage that Democrats have had with black voters, with African-Americans.

You can see it right here. Look, Trump’s approval among African- Americans at this point in term one. He was at 12 percent. You know, he’s been losing ground with a lot of — he’s gaining. He’s gaining ground with African-Americans.

He’s up to 16 percent at this point. And you say, this isn’t that big of a shift. But I will tell you, Republicans absolutely love this shift that’s going on because Democrats have had such a long-term advantage.

The fact that he’s actually gaining ground versus where he was in term number one, this has major implications for elections down the line, because Democrats, especially in a lot of these tight races, you talk about places like Georgia right down in the south, you see this type of movement for Trump actually gaining ground.

This could have major ramifications and help put Republicans over the top in a number of southern places in the midterm elections.

Bolduan wonders whether this is a one-off or “part of a bigger trend?”

I see this as absolutely part of a bigger trend. Donald Trump’s Republican Party is absolutely gaining ground, not just him gaining in terms of his approval rating.

But look at the party I.D. margin, Kate. Because this to me was absolutely stunning. Look at this. Party I.D. margin among African- Americans at this point. In Trump, term number one, Democrats had a 63-point advantage. That has absolutely fallen.

Look at where it is now. A double-digit shift away. Democrats, of course, still have the advantage, but it’s a 12-point shift to the Republican Party. And I look back through Gallup’s records. They sent me their records. And this in fact lead that Democrats have is actually smaller than any lead from 2006 to 2021.

So, Democrats are leading. But again, we’re talking about chipping away. Republicans are chipping away at this long-term advantage that Democrats have had among African-Americans. We see it in terms of Trump’s approval rating. And we even see it to a wider degree among the party I.D. margin where all of a sudden there are a number of African-Americans who are walking away from the Democratic Party and a number of them who are walking into the Republican tent. 

Enten’s conclusion:

The Donald Trump-led Republican Party is making gains among African- Americans that we simply put have not seen the Republican Party make in a generation.

LifeNews.com Note: Dave Andrusko is the editor of National Right to Life News and an author and editor of several books on abortion topics. He frequently writes Today’s News and Views — an online opinion column on pro-life issues.

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