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News Every Day |

What an alcohol licence map of New Zealand actually shows

9

Tekapo has five bottle stores. The town has 5,800 people. That ratio — one outlet for every 1,160 residents — is the highest in New Zealand, and the moment you see it on the map you can also see why nobody much in Tekapo would feel hard done by. The bottle stores are not there for the locals. They are there for the carloads of tourists driving through to Aoraki, and for the ski crowd in winter, and for the wedding parties at the church on the lake. The resident base is just the denominator that makes the rate look extreme.

That single anomaly explains most of the surprises in the country’s first interactive map of alcohol licences, which Newswire built this week from the public register that the Ministry of Justice republishes every quarter. Every active licence in the country — 11,476 of them — is now on a single page, joined to council population, with a toggle to switch between bottle stores, supermarkets, cellar doors, bars, and clubs. The intuition that prompted it was the standard one. There must be more bottle shops per person than there used to be. The data does not quite say that, and the reason it doesn’t is the more interesting story.

Start with the off-licence count. There are 3,129 places where you can buy alcohol to take away in New Zealand. Strip out cellar-door wineries and mail-order clubs, leaving just the everyday bottle stores, supermarkets and grocery shops, and the number falls to 1,640. Across a population of 5.34 million that is one retail outlet for every 3,250 residents, or 0.31 per 1,000. That is the national average. It is also the rate Auckland sits at, almost exactly. Christchurch is a hair below it. Hamilton, Tauranga, Wellington City — all of the big metros — cluster within touching distance of the same line.

The councils that pull away from that line in either direction are not the ones the political conversation tends to single out. The most heavily-supplied parts of the country, on a resident basis, are not the metros and not the provincial centres. They are wine regions and tourist towns. Central Otago has 109 off-licences for 26,500 people, a rate of 4.11 per 1,000, which is more than double Marlborough’s 2.29 and more than three times what most of the country runs at. Forty-four of those Central Otago licences belong to wine producers; the rest service Queenstown’s commuter belt and the Cromwell-Alexandra basin. Marlborough is the same shape: 120 outlets, 48 of them cellar doors, the rest concentrated around Blenheim and the Wairau Valley. The producer overlay on the map traces the New Zealand wine industry’s footprint with eerie precision.

Toggle the map across to its “Retail” view, which strips the wine industry out, and the leaderboard reshuffles. Mackenzie comes top. Thames-Coromandel is second, with 26 retail outlets serving 33,300 residents but a summer population that swells to several times that. Westland, Kaikōura, Ruapehu, South Wairarapa and Stratford fill out the rest of the high-density list. Every one of them is a small council whose resident headcount is dwarfed by the people who pass through, and the bottle stores are sized for the actual customer base, not the census base.

That is the deeper limitation of any per-resident measure, and the reason the original question doesn’t quite work. A bottle store in Tairua serves the whole eastern Coromandel coast in summer. A bottle store in Manukau serves several thousand households inside a fifteen-minute walk. The rate per 1,000 cannot tell those two situations apart, and on most nights of the year the Manukau store is busier. Outlet density and alcohol exposure are not the same thing, and council-level rates wash out the differences within a council that public health researchers actually care about. Two suburbs of the same city — one with a bottle shop on every block, one with none for two kilometres — sit inside the same number on this map.

For that reason the map is best read as a regional shape, not a council ranking. Wine country, tourist coasts, and the big skifields run hot. The metros run middle. The genuinely under-supplied councils — Wairoa, Kawerau, Buller, Chatham Islands — are small, isolated and rural, and what they share is distance, not poverty. The argument that small-town New Zealand has been flooded with bottle stores does not survive contact with the dataset. Neither does the mirror argument, that the metros are awash in retail liquor; on a per-capita basis, the metro retail rate sits below the national average.

What the metros do have, and what tells a different story when you flip the map across to it, is on-licence density. Bars, restaurants, taverns and hotel licences are the part of the picture that scales with city size, and the on-licence map looks nothing like the off-licence map. Wellington City and Queenstown lead it; the wine-country councils sit middle of the pack. The everyday alcohol environment in a New Zealand main centre is shaped much more by where you can sit and drink than by where you can take a bottle home from.

The question of whether the country has more outlets per person than it used to is one this snapshot cannot answer cleanly, because the licence numbering changed in 2014 and the recent surge of new licence numbers is mostly business turnover, not new outlets. To do the historical version properly takes the older annual reports of the Liquor Licensing Authority, going back to 1990, and we’ll come back to it. The next layer worth building, though, is not the historical one. It is the suburb one. The map of off-licence density per 1,000 across Auckland’s local boards, drawn off the Council’s District Licensing Committee register, is where the policy debate actually lives, and that is the follow-up tool we’ll be putting up next.

Open the interactive map →

Where on the map surprised you? Tell us in the comments.

Ria.city






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