Revelry or relegation? Predicting Tottenham’s last five results and whether it will keep them up
West Ham’s failure to win at Crystal Palace still leaves a narrow window for Tottenham to avoid relegation. We’re taking a shot at predicting the last 5 games for each team still fighting relegation to see how much of a miracle Spurs need to pull to escape demotion doom.
Here’s what Spurs and their rivals are up against:
| GM 34 | GM 35 | GM 36 | GM 37 | GM 38 | |
| Spurs | Wolves (A) | Villa (A) | Leeds (H) | Chelsea (A) | Everton (H) |
| West Ham | Everton (H) | Brentford (A) | Arsenal (H) | Newcastle (A) | Leeds (H) |
| Nottingham Forest | Sunderland (A) | Chelsea (A) | Newcastle (H) | Man U (A) | Bournemouth (H) |
| Leeds | Bournemouth (A) | Burnley (H) | Spurs (A) | Brighton (H) | West Ham (A) |
And here’s what their current table positions look like as of today:
| # | G/D | W/D/L | Points | |
| 15. | Leeds | -7 | 9/12/12 | 39 |
| 16. | Nottinhgham Forest | -9 | 9/9/15 | 36 |
| 17. | West Ham | -17 | 8/9/16 | 33 |
| Spurs | -11 | 7/10/16 | 31 |
What can we expect from Tottenham’s last five games?
Clearly, the task ahead of Spurs is not an easy one. With a two point deficit to West Ham, If they are to survive in the Premier League, they simply must rely on their rivals slipping up and dropping points.
The remaining run in could be Spurs’ saving grace here since, on paper, both West Ham’s and Forest’s remaining fixtures are more difficult.
Spurs, of course, still remain winless in 2026 so predicant any win for the North London club in their remaining five games requires a bit of a leap of faith that their recent uptick in performances under the stewardship of Roberto De Zerbi continues.
But there are at least three very winnable games ahead of Tottenham and where the Lilywhites still have to play Chelsea and Villa from clubs in the top six, West Ham face difficult opposition in a visit from title contending Arsenal as well as trips away to Brentford, who sit in European qualification spots, and to Newcastle, who despite their shaky form remain a dangerous team.
Leeds only need to win two of their remaining five fixtures to be mathematically safe from relegation.
Here’s what the point tallies would look like if results from the first half of the season would simply carry over to their reverse fixtures.
| # | GM 34 | GM 35 | GM 36 | GM 37 | GM 38 | Final Points | ||
| 15. | Leeds | 43 | ||||||
| 16. | Spurs | 38 | ||||||
| 17. | Nottingham Forest | 37 | ||||||
| 18. | West Ham | 37 |
These results would mean that Spurs narrowly escape relegation and actually end the season in 16th. In this scenario it would actually be West Ham who miss out on safety on goal difference alone to Nottingham Forest.
This hypothetical table does not of course reflect current form and directions of clubs, with both Forest and West Ham seeing big upticks in performances in the latter half of the season, whereas Spurs fell off massively after a relatively positive start.
Importantly, in the fixtures in the first half of the season we’ve witnessed some major upsets, like when West Ham beat Newcastle or Forest scrambled a draw against Manchester United.
What is the best-case scenario for Spurs?
Regardless, at Spurs-web we remain committed optimists and here are the results we want to see in those last fixtures.
| GM 34 | GM 35 | GM 36 | GM 37 | GM 38 | Final Points | ||
| Spurs | 42 |
With Wolves already relegated, Tottenham should absolutely be looking to win convincingly at the Molineux while the Leeds and Everton games are both played with home advantage (as vague of a term as it is for Spurs this season).
With Chelsea in a bit of an internal crisis and Villa’s focus firmly on their European fixture against Nottingham Forest (Spurs game against Aston Villa is inbetween their two legged tie), we could see Spurs scrapping a point at Villa Park and Stamford Bridge each.
However way you look at it, the relegation race is far from decided so here’s to hoping Spurs come out of it on top.
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