Will Biden’s Pandering Fool Black Voters Again?
Despite a growing number of national and swing state polls that show Black voters shifting their support from President Biden to former President Trump, most Democrats and political pundits refuse to take the data seriously. This pattern of denial has persisted even after veteran Democrat operatives such as James Carville have frantically sounded the alarm. Rep. James Clyburn (D-S.C.), for example, dismissed the inconvenient statistics by arguing that there was something wrong with the surveys. There are, however, some people inside the Biden campaign who take them seriously enough to send him out on another of his quadrennial pandering tours.
He will need to convince a lot of very skeptical voters of all races and creeds, that he can really handle the job.
It isn’t clear that it will work this time, however. As Blexit activist Madeline Brame recently said during an interview with Jesse Watters at Fox News about a recent Biden speech, “It’s so insulting and so racist for every other word that comes out of his mouth, black this, black that, black this, black that. Like the only reason why we have made these so-called accomplishments is because of the color of our skin … It’s not gonna fly.” And Brame’s attitude is by no means unique. According to CNN’s Harry Enten, Biden’s Black support has plummeted from 86 to 70 percent since 2020 while Trump’s has doubled during the same time period. South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott (R) recently explained in The Hill why Black voters are rejecting Biden in favor of Trump:
Democrats just keep on pandering. It is not lost on Black folks that only within the last few weeks—when poll after poll shows Biden trailing—that Biden has finally decided to show up in the Black community. Are we only important when you need us? Every day, there is another headline about Biden and the Democrats rethinking, relaunching or rebranding their Black voter outreach strategy. In reality, they are retreading one failed policy after another. Black voters see through it all. And that is why a great Black voter realignment is well underway.
One reason this seems implausible to so many Americans involves the decades-long Democrat effort to shove its well-documented history of racism down the proverbial memory hole. But it should be recalled that, after the Fifteenth Amendment was ratified in 1870, Black voters cast their ballots almost exclusively for Republicans. Nor did the advent of the New Deal completely break this bond. During the 1930’s, per Pew Research, “Black adults were just as likely to support the Republican Party as the Democratic Party.” Republican President Dwight Eisenhower won 36 percent of the Black vote in 1956. Even as late as 1960, Richard Nixon won 32 percent of the Black vote in his race against John F. Kennedy.
The Democrats believe they have a permanent lock on the Black vote, having claimed for decades that they are the party of civil rights. Never mind that, as Thomas Sowell has so frequently pointed out, “A higher percentage of Republicans than Democrats voted for the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965.” No one “educated” in our public schools and DEI-infected colleges has ever been exposed to these easily-verifiable facts. Even if these landmark bills could indeed be attributed to the Democrats, they were passed 60 years ago and many young Black voters are understandably asking, “What have you done for me lately?” This is particularly true among Black voters under 50 according to Enten:
Look at this: Joe Biden was up by 80 points among this group back at this point in 2020. Look at where that margin has careened down towards: It’s now just—get this—37 points. That lead has dropped by more than half … I’m like speechless because you always look at history and you go, “Okay, this is a historic moment.” If this polling is anywhere near correct, we are looking at a historic moment right now where black voters under the age of 50, which have historically been such a big part of the Democratic coalition, are leaving in droves.
The Democrats have for decades depended on at least 90 percent of Black voters to turn out and vote for their candidates. Biden is probably more dependent on their votes than most Democrats, yet their enthusiasm for him is decidedly tepid. This was the reason Hillary Clinton lost to Donald Trump in 2016. According to Pew Research, “The 7-percentage-point decline from the previous presidential election is the largest on record for blacks.” And Biden’s decline among these voters is on track to dwarf those deadly numbers. Can Biden turn it around? Even if he manages to remain upright and at least semi-coherent during the June 27 debate, he will need to do more than call Trump a “convicted felon” and a “dictator.”
He will need to convince a lot of very skeptical voters of all races and creeds, that he can really handle the job. According to a February ABC News/Ipsos poll, “86% of Americans think Biden, 81, is too old to serve another term as president.” This is consistent with the findings of numerous polls and he’s not getting any younger. His opponent is no spring chicken either, but Trump has all his marbles and his record was obviously better than Biden’s, particularly for Black voters. All they must do, then, is apply the Reagan Principle: “Are we better off now than we were four years ago? Joe Biden’s pandering won’t fool them again.
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