Canelo Alvarez vs Jaime Munguia odds: Betting tips and preview
FOLLOWERS of professional championship boxing welcome the return of a modern great for Álvarez vs Munguia.
The warriors clash over 12 rounds at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday evening, with four versions of the world super middleweight title on the line in a bout you can follow live on DAZN.
Fireworks are guaranteed when two determined Mexicans go toe-to-toe for major honours, and I’m confident Saturday’s tussle will live up to the hype. But which fighter will come good and leave with the belts, Saul Álvarez or the unbeaten Jaime Munguia?
Keep reading for my Álvarez vs Munguia preview and predictions.
Current Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez vs Jaime Munguia odds
Bookies working at the leading online sportsbooks offer Álvarez vs Munguia betting odds, allowing fight fans to make predictions, gamble, and cheer on their picks.
In this section, I highlight the best odds available at major apps. Please remember boxing betting odds are subject to change and may move between publishing this article and you placing a bet.
- Saul Álvarez to win at 2/11 with bet365
- Jaime Munguia to win at 15/4 with bet365
- Draw at 18/1 with BetUK
Canelo Álvarez’s record
Álvarez arrives in Las Vegas with his professional boxing CV detailing 60 wins against two draws and a pair of defeats. The 33-year-old from Guadalajara, Mexico, is a career professional, turning pro as a teenager and working his way through the ranks to become a multi-weight world champion. He’s currently ranked as the number one fighter at super middleweight ahead of David Benavidez, with Munguia in third place.
Canelo arrives on the back of a three-fight winning streak following points victories over Gennady Golovkin, John Ryder, and Jermell Charlo. All three fights happened within 12 months, reminding fans Saul is one of the most active and fittest champions on the circuit. He loves facing the best fighters in several weights and often comes away with an impressive win. Will he continue his form against Munguia?
We last saw Álvarez in action against Charlo in September when the red-headed power-puncher scored a landslide victory with margins of 13 rounds, nine rounds, and nine rounds on the judges’ cards. It was another comfortable outing as Canelo went through the gears, building a sizeable advantage in the opening rounds and protecting it in the closing stages. That win proved once again Canelo can box as well as fight.
Jaime Munguia’s record
Jamie Munguia ducks between the ropes on fight night for the biggest challenge of his career. His professional boxing record highlights 43 wins from as many bouts, with 34 of those victories coming inside the distance. The 27-year-old from Tijuana is ranked number three in the world at the weight but knows victory on Saturday in Vegas would send him to the top of the division, passing his opponent in the process. A win would also set up the possibility of a money-spinning rematch before the end of the year.
Munguia boasts a near-80% knockout average, and he was in devastating form last time when dismantling England’s John Ryder inside nine rounds at the Footprint Center in Phoenix. That was an impressive performance, stopping Ryder comfortably inside the distance despite the Brit taking Canelo 12 rounds. Styles make fights, and how both men dealt with Ryder will have no bearing on this bout, but it does hand Jaime a serious confidence boost.
Looking at Jaime’s last five fights for a snapshot of his form heading into this contest, I can see he has won four by stoppage, including three inside the opening five rounds. Saturday represents a major step up in class, and he’s unlikely to go on the attack early against Canelo as he has too much respect for what’s coming back. A gung-ho approach could end things early, but it may not go the way Munguia has planned.
Álvarez vs Munguia betting tips and odds
In this section, I offer three betting tips for the Álvarez vs Munguia bout. I’ve gone for a good mix of value and picks that should help you land a profit. You can choose your favourite and bet at the biggest bookies now or spread your stake across several markets to increase your chances of making a profit from Saturday’s show in Vegas.
Álvarez to win at 2/11 (bet365)
I wouldn’t encourage many average boxing bettors to back Saul Álvarez to beat Jaime Munguia as the odds are very short, but this pick lays the foundations for my other picks. The pound-for-pound boxing sensation has lost only to Dmitri Bivol at light heavyweight and Floyd Mayweather Jr early in his career. He has operated at a much higher level than Munguia for most of his career, and I expect that experience to shine through.
Álvarez is the more experienced fighter at this level. He is renowned for having a great engine and can outbox opponents or stand and trade with the toughest warriors in several weights. He doesn’t have too many weaknesses in his game, and despite the price, I’ll take Canelo to win. That bet may appeal to the big hitters who like to boost their stake ahead of the most important fights.
Bet on Álvarez to win at 2/11 with bet365
Álvarez KO/TKO – 2/1 (bet365)
Looking to back Canelo at greater odds? You’ll find them in the method of victory market. This option is available at all major sportsbooks mentioned on this site and ramps up the odds available on the fight-winner market. Here, you must choose a winning fighter and predict how they’ll get the result: by knockout or on points.
The obvious pick here is to track the form and back Álvarez to win on the scorecards for a third fight on the bounce, but I’m not following the trends. Instead, I envisage a bit of a war between two proud Mexicans, with neither willing to take a backward step. As any fight fan from any generation knows, things get interesting when Mexicans share a ring. Munguia will come to win, and that will leave him open to the counter, especially in the later rounds.
Bet on Álvarez to win by KO/TKO at 2/1 with bet365
Álvarez in rounds 7-12 – 17/5 (BetUK)
I’ll complete the journey with a third bet on Canelo to win. After picking the champion to get the result at short odds and adding a knockout to raise the stakes, I’d go for a nice-priced winner in the group round betting. I must now pick the correct fighter, determine the method of victory, and explain how early the main event will finish. I’m going for Canelo to win in the second half of the bout, scoring a KO/TKO in rounds 7-12.
If this bout goes the way I expect it to, Álvarez will use his experience and ring IQ to build up a strong advantage on the scorecards in the early rounds. Finding himself down on the cards, Munguia must throw caution to the wind and try to stop his countryman in the second half of the contest. That will leave him open to counterpunches from Canelo, and I already know he doesn’t need a written invitation to throw bombs.
Bet on Álvarez to win in rounds 7-12 at 17/5 with BetUK
How to bet on Álvarez vs Munguia
Follow these steps to wager on Álvarez vs Munguia this weekend.
- Choose your preferred bookmaker and click any link on this page.
- Click Join and create an account by providing your details.
- Deposit £10 or more to qualify for the welcome bonus.
- Click boxing and Álvarez vs Munguia.
- Select the odds attached to your chosen market to add to your bet slip.
- Input a stake, check, and confirm. Your bet is now live.
Who is the favourite to win, Álvarez or Munguia?
Álvarez is the red-hot pre-fight betting favourite to win with all major sportsbooks. He’s priced like losing isn’t an option, and that’s despite Munguia arriving as a previously unbeaten fighter in the biggest bout of his career.
What’s the weight category of the Álvarez vs Munguia fight?
The Álvarez vs Munguia fight is scheduled for 12 rounds in the super middleweight division.
Who has more professional fights, Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez or Jaime Munguia?
Álvarez is by far the more experienced fighter, with 64 bouts on his record against 43 of his opponent. But both men have been around the block more than once.
Who has more wins in their professional career, Canelo or Munguia?
Álvarez boasts more wins than Munguia, with 60 trumping 43.
Who has more KOs in their career, Álvarez or Munguia?
Álvarez has stopped 39 of his previous opponents inside the distance, while Munguia has scored 34 knockouts.
What’s on the line if Munguia wins?
If Munguia joins one of the most exclusive lists in professional sports and beats Canelo, he’ll walk away with the IBF, WBA, WBC, and WBO super middleweight titles. He’s also likely to move to the top of the division and pave the way for a rematch with Álvarez.
Are there any undercard fights that you should pay attention to?
Canelo Promotions, TGB Promotions, and Clase y Talento jointly promote the show at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The card boasts several major title fights, including Brandon Figueroa vs Jessie Magdaleno for the WBC interim world featherweight title and Mario Barrios vs Fabian Andres Maidana for the WBC interim world welterweight title.
How to watch the Alvarez vs Munguia fight
- Date: Sunday 5th May
- Time: 04:00 GMT
- Where to watch: Live on DAZN
About the author
Frank Monkhouse
Frank is a former professional boxer at the renowned TKO Gym in London that has transitioned his career into sport betting writing. He has worked with some of the leading names in the industry, including world-renowned bookmakers and ambitious affiliates. A student of the formbook, he leans heavily on the stats and trends to help find readers the value.
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