We in Telegram
Add news
March 2010 April 2010 May 2010 June 2010 July 2010
August 2010
September 2010 October 2010
November 2010
December 2010
January 2011
February 2011 March 2011 April 2011 May 2011 June 2011 July 2011 August 2011 September 2011 October 2011 November 2011 December 2011 January 2012 February 2012 March 2012 April 2012 May 2012 June 2012 July 2012 August 2012 September 2012 October 2012 November 2012 December 2012 January 2013 February 2013 March 2013 April 2013 May 2013 June 2013 July 2013 August 2013 September 2013 October 2013 November 2013 December 2013 January 2014 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 May 2014 June 2014 July 2014 August 2014 September 2014 October 2014 November 2014 December 2014 January 2015 February 2015 March 2015 April 2015 May 2015 June 2015 July 2015 August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015 January 2016 February 2016 March 2016 April 2016 May 2016 June 2016 July 2016 August 2016 September 2016 October 2016 November 2016 December 2016 January 2017 February 2017 March 2017 April 2017 May 2017 June 2017 July 2017 August 2017 September 2017 October 2017 November 2017 December 2017 January 2018 February 2018 March 2018 April 2018 May 2018 June 2018 July 2018 August 2018 September 2018 October 2018 November 2018 December 2018 January 2019 February 2019 March 2019 April 2019 May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 September 2019 October 2019 November 2019 December 2019 January 2020 February 2020 March 2020 April 2020 May 2020 June 2020 July 2020 August 2020 September 2020 October 2020 November 2020 December 2020 January 2021 February 2021 March 2021 April 2021 May 2021 June 2021 July 2021 August 2021 September 2021 October 2021 November 2021 December 2021 January 2022 February 2022 March 2022 April 2022 May 2022 June 2022 July 2022 August 2022 September 2022 October 2022 November 2022 December 2022 January 2023 February 2023 March 2023 April 2023 May 2023 June 2023 July 2023 August 2023 September 2023 October 2023 November 2023 December 2023 January 2024 February 2024
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28
29
News Every Day |

Iran's hiding behind deadly friends should have a price

Iran's hiding behind deadly friends should have a price

Growing tensions between Iran, its neighbors, Israel and the U.S. are causing heightened concern in Tehran, after deadly use of force by the regime and its allies. Consequently, Tehran reached out to its allies, resulting in an Iraqi militia announcing a suspension of attacks against the U.S. forces.

If, instead of reacting retroactively, the regime had proactively demanded its allies to reduce attacks a while ago, three American lives might have been spared. 

To reduce the potential for future escalation, it is crucial to hold Iran accountable and convey the cost associated with arming, training, financing and promoting violence through proxies.

The killing of three American soldiers in northern Jordan by an Iraqi pro-Iranian militia and the following unusual U.S. attack is causing heightened concern in Tehran. Additionally, aggressive and simultaneous Iranian use of force in the territories of neighboring countries has led to decisive reactions and border tension. Furthermore, the increasing frequency of Israeli attacks against Iranian forces in Syria has become another significant challenge for decisionmakers in Tehran.

The primary apprehension of the Iranian regime revolves around the risk of uncontrollable escalation, the proximity of conflict to Iran's borders and potential cracks in the proxy strategy and Iranian deterrence. Another concern is the long-term outcome of the current escalation, including the possibility of a shift in the perceived continuous U.S. withdrawal from the region.

In response to the current tension, the Iranian regime has taken specific actions to de-escalate. Tehran has denied any connection to the attack in northern Jordan, and the Quds Force commander has engaged in meetings with militias in Iraq, resulting in Kata'ib Hezbollah announcing a suspension of attacks against the U.S. forces. Simultaneously, reports suggest that Iran has reduced the scope of its operatives in Syria, implicitly aiming to limit Israel's opportunities for attacks.

Addressing the recent events, intelligence officials estimated that Iran does not exercise full control over its allies and their attacks. 

It is indeed true that Iran's allies maintain their own interests and possess a degree of autonomy in dealing with Iranian demands. This is particularly evident when Iran's inclination towards the use of force might jeopardize its allies. In such cases, these allies may refuse or conditionally implement directives based on the character of their relations with Tehran. When it comes to the independent will of allies to employ force, Iran typically supports and benefits from it even if not directly involved. It allows general power projection and the complementary use of diplomacy, positioning Iran as the holder of a potential key for de-escalation. 

Nevertheless, at times the Iranian regime is motivated and inclined to halt attacks, it exhibits proficiency in influencing its allies. Such conduct was just exemplified by the recent visit of the Quds commander to Iraq followed by a de-escalation announcement by the militia. Similar influence has been demonstrated, for instance, in November 2020, when Iran demanded militias in Iraq cease attacks on U.S. forces to prevent then-President Trump from launching an escalatory move.

The Iranian regime was well aware that the escalation of militia attacks against U.S. forces in recent months could lead to fatal consequences, even if that wasn't the explicit intention. 

Although assertions claiming Iran doesn't have full control over its allies are correct, they are not nuanced enough and enable Tehran to maintain plausible deniability. These assertions also provide cautious players a justification to refrain from increasing direct pressure or taking more aggressive measures toward Iran.

The recent joint campaign by the United States and Britain to counter Houthi aggression marks an important change in the West's approach following disruptions to global maritime traffic. It underscores the assertiveness and commitment to the international order. 

Nevertheless, the attacks, primarily targeting operational assets, are unlikely to halt the Houthis' aggression, given their demonstrated resilience against Saudi forces over years of conflict. 

Moreover, it appears that Iran has not been deterred by the attacks in Yemen, with the supreme leader even encouraging the Houthis to persist in their activities against ships in the Red Sea.

Demonstrating a willingness to increase the risk to Iranian interests, while considering Tehran's concerns and preventing it from using its allies as a shield, has the potential of recalculating the regime's course. Such an approach might have a more significant impact on the primary instigator within the "axis of resistance" without necessarily provoking an escalatory response. The Israeli attacks against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps officers in Syria showcases this risk management approach, and may signal initial positive results, affecting decisionmaking in Tehran.  

If Iran does not face a substantial price for supporting destabilizing measures and continues receiving advance alerts before facing attacks, the regime may perceive its hiding strategy as effective and continue supporting violence. 

To reduce the potential for future escalation and the concerns of significant miscalculation, it is crucial to hold Iran accountable. Tehran must know there is a cost associated with arming, training, providing intelligence, financing and promoting violence through proxies. 

Assaf Zoran is research fellow on the Project on Managing at the Atom Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.

Минск

Лукашенко обратился к Эрдогану

Stunning Photo Collection of OLD MONEY - COLORIZED

Amsterdam Stunning Sunny Hour Winter 2024 Amsterdam Walking Tour 4K

Beautiful Outdoor Garden Furniture, Garden Library Interior, Hidden Book Nook Garden Design

1960s USA - Real Street Scenes of Vintage America - Colorized

Ria.city






Read also

Stoned on the job? Increase in work injuries linked to legal weed

Chloe Brockett takes brutal swipe at Towie hours after quitting show following explosive rows and suspension

Journalist Asad Toor remanded in FIA custody for 5 days in case pertaining to online campaign against judiciary

News, articles, comments, with a minute-by-minute update, now on Today24.pro

News Every Day

1960s USA - Real Street Scenes of Vintage America - Colorized

Today24.pro — latest news 24/7. You can add your news instantly now — here


News Every Day

Stunning Photo Collection of OLD MONEY - COLORIZED



Sports today


Новости тенниса
ATP

Хачанов улучшил свою позицию в рейтинге ATP



Спорт в России и мире
Москва

Алименты вратаря сборной России по футболу Сафонова на дочь составят до 3 млн рублей в месяц



All sports news today





Sports in Russia today

Москва

А вдруг ЦСКА и «Ак Барс» сразу вылетят? Расклад на первые серии Кубка Гагарина-2024, который сулит сюрпризы


Новости России

Game News

Мафия-НН: Вечер пролетел, окутанный пламенем веселья и непредсказуемости.


Russian.city


Москва

Кошки обглодали два обмороженных трупа под Москвой


Губернаторы России
Владимир Потанин

Виртуальные склоны курорта «Роза Хутор» покорили болельщиков "Игр будущего"


Красноярский край занял 14 место в рейтинге регионов по доступности бензина

Шапки женские зимние на Wildberries — скидки от 398 руб. (на новые оттенки)

В Москве сотрудница лжеобменника взяла у клиента почти 12 млн и вынесла их через окно

СЛЕД КОРОНАВИРУСНЫХ БИОЛАБОРАТОРИЙ В ПРОВОДАХ ТАНКОВ НАТО. СПЕЦОПЕРАЦИЯ СВО РОССИИ НА УКРАИНЕ, ПОЛЕЗНЫЕ ВЫВОДЫ.


Шнуров предложил Жукову отбирать участников “Новой Фабрики звезд” на боксерском ринге

Концерт в выставочном зале имени Ю.В. Карапаева

Шнуров предложил Жукову отбирать участников “Новой Фабрики звезд” на боксерском ринге

Концерт в музее П.И. Чайковского "Глинке - 220 лет"


Янчук: финал WTA 1000 в Дубае — успех для Калинской

Теннисистка Калинская поднялась на 16 строчек в обновленном рейтинге WTA

Калинская уступила Паолини в финале турнира WTA 1000 в Дубае

Карен Хачанов: «Я стараюсь быть игроком больших матчей, больших турниров. И цель остается прежней – выиграть ТБШ»



СЛЕД КОРОНАВИРУСНЫХ БИОЛАБОРАТОРИЙ В ПРОВОДАХ ТАНКОВ НАТО. СПЕЦОПЕРАЦИЯ СВО РОССИИ НА УКРАИНЕ, ПОЛЕЗНЫЕ ВЫВОДЫ.

Виртуальные склоны курорта «Роза Хутор» покорили болельщиков "Игр будущего"

Путин подписал указ о военно-административном делении России

Шапки женские зимние на Wildberries — скидки от 398 руб. (на новые оттенки)


«Автомобилист» обыграл «Локомотив» и узнал с кем сразиться в первом раунде Кубка Гагарина

Бадминтонисты Республики Татарстан завоевали больше всего наград на «Мемориале А.Ф.Трубачева»

Путин своим указом воссоздал Московский и Ленинградский военные округа

Виртуальные склоны курорта «Роза Хутор» покорили болельщиков "Игр будущего"


Нижегородская область намерена запустить в космос спутник «Лобачевский»

Туктамышева, Загитова и Щербакова станут капитанами на Кубке Первого канала

Дмитрий Шахов поделился впечатлениями от выставки «Россия» на ВДНХ

Проект школьника из Власихи победил на фестивале робототехники в Королеве



Путин в России и мире






Персональные новости Russian.city
Джиган

Выставленный на продажу особняк рэпера Джигана стал дешевле на 45 миллионов рублей



News Every Day

Top 10 Mystery TV Series of 2023




Friends of Today24

Музыкальные новости

Персональные новости