Still in a holding pattern
Hello Friends,
Minimal wave activity at Dee Why this morning. I’d call it ankle to knee-high with the odd waist-high bomb. Wind’s been blowing lightly all night from the N-NNE, so surface conditions are choppy. Swell at sea just about dead south with average heights of 1.3 metres and a respectable 13-second period. Those numbers suggest that north corners tuned to southerly swell could maybe have a little more size than was evident at Dee Why.
As the Bureau’s forecast notes below, the long period south pulse that’s been predicted by the swell models for close to a week, is still on schedule to turn up tomorrow. The GFS model is showing peak energy levels of 17 seconds at 1.7 metres, which could translate into solidly overhead (but very infrequent) sets at the south magnets. The tide will hit a deepish 1.84 m high tomorrow morning at 1005, so you’ll want to dial that into your calculations. Pretty obviously it’s not going to be a day for beginners or even many intermediates.
Have a good one!
Weather Situation
A weak ridge of high pressure is in place along the east coast and into the Tasman Sea, with northerly winds increasing today, before the next trough and southerly change moves northwards along the coast on Wednesday and Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
- Winds
- Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the late afternoon.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 15 November
- Winds
- Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm.
- Caution
- Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 16 November
- Winds
- Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
- Seas
- Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
- Swell
- Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.