Add news
March 2010April 2010May 2010June 2010July 2010
August 2010
September 2010October 2010
November 2010
December 2010
January 2011
February 2011March 2011April 2011May 2011June 2011July 2011August 2011September 2011October 2011November 2011December 2011January 2012February 2012March 2012April 2012May 2012June 2012July 2012August 2012September 2012October 2012November 2012December 2012January 2013February 2013March 2013April 2013May 2013June 2013July 2013August 2013September 2013October 2013November 2013December 2013January 2014February 2014March 2014April 2014May 2014June 2014July 2014August 2014September 2014October 2014November 2014December 2014January 2015February 2015March 2015April 2015May 2015June 2015July 2015August 2015September 2015October 2015November 2015December 2015January 2016February 2016March 2016April 2016May 2016June 2016July 2016August 2016September 2016October 2016November 2016December 2016January 2017February 2017March 2017April 2017May 2017June 2017July 2017August 2017September 2017October 2017November 2017December 2017January 2018February 2018March 2018April 2018May 2018June 2018July 2018August 2018September 2018October 2018November 2018December 2018January 2019February 2019March 2019April 2019May 2019June 2019July 2019August 2019September 2019October 2019November 2019December 2019January 2020February 2020March 2020April 2020May 2020June 2020July 2020August 2020September 2020October 2020November 2020December 2020January 2021February 2021March 2021April 2021May 2021June 2021July 2021August 2021September 2021October 2021November 2021December 2021January 2022February 2022March 2022April 2022May 2022June 2022July 2022August 2022September 2022October 2022November 2022December 2022
News Every Day |

Opinion | Trump Is a Problem for Republicans. DeSantis May Not Be the Solution.

In the wake of their disappointing midterm election results, many Republican commentators are already adopting a common refrain: The party has a Trump problem, and it’s time to move on, preferably with Florida’s star governor, Ron DeSantis.

The Republican rank and file may feel similarly. New surveys taken since Election Day found that GOP voters now prefer the Florida governor over the former president in the race for 2024, and some members of Congress appear to be leaning in that direction, too. Seeing the potential threat, Trump has gone to war with DeSantis on social media, releasing a statement that derided him as “Ron DeSanctimonious” and as an “average” governor who only won office because of Trump’s past support.

But pinning all Republican hopes on DeSantis may not work for the GOP. Florida is not the rest of the United States, and DeSantis has embraced much of Trumpism himself. If voters are rejecting not just Trump, but his approach to politics, then a Trumpy alternative to Trump is no solution. Most importantly, broad and lasting success for the party will not be so simple as trading one cult of personality for another.

The election results speak for themselves. Most of the former president’s hand-picked candidates lost convincingly across the country, allowing Democrats to hold the Senate and keep the likely Republican lead in the House to a whisker. DeSantis, on the other hand, trounced Democratic challenger Charlie Crist by nearly 20 points in his reelection bid, after having won in a squeaker in 2018. He did so by winning the biggest margin ever in Miami-Dade and with record numbers for a Republican among non-Cuban Hispanics; he also increased Republican margins in the Legislature on his coattails.

For Trump’s GOP favorites, there were no such waves to be found, and in the few places where they won, they significantly underperformed.

It’s no wonder Republicans are looking toward DeSantis as they turn their attention toward 2024.

Beyond his recent win, DeSantis enjoys a perception among Republicans that he turned the previously purple state red, as well as the assumption that what works there could be successfully exported to the rest of the country. But these ideas are at best unproven, and the red wave that never arrived should teach Republicans a harsh lesson about relying on gut feelings alone.

Much of what has happened in Florida reflects its unique population dynamics combined with larger demographic trends. Arguably, DeSantis didn’t turn Hispanics toward Republicans so much as benefit from a large population bloc already turning that way — a trend, if anything, that was started by Trump.

Similarly, Florida’s population skews substantially older than most swing states, and older voters are disproportionately Republican. Florida’s 65 and older cohort represents more than 21 percent of the state’s population, the second-oldest in the country. In contrast, Georgia, which Republicans must win to make a competitive run at the presidency, ranks 47th.

There is also the potential impact of interstate migration. Trump himself moved to Florida, as have many other Republicans across the country. This phenomenon is not nearly as present elsewhere, and movement away from states like Pennsylvania to Florida may help DeSantis now while hurting his chances in a presidential contest.

Finally, there are additional factors that no doubt widened DeSantis’ lead last Tuesday. For one, Florida Democrats are notoriously bad at voter registration, but this isn’t true in other important swing states like Michigan, Minnesota and Georgia. Crist, the Democratic candidate for governor, also lost three statewide elections, campaigned with a running mate who had tried to end Florida’s popular school choice programs, and had switched parties while keeping few loyalists along the way.

The reality is, Florida is no longer a swing state, and the Republican Party there has outmaneuvered the Democrats up and down the ballot since long before DeSantis came along. Democrats haven’t won a Florida governor’s race since the 1990s, and Trump won the state twice in his presidential bids.

To be clear, DeSantis is ascending at this moment in part because he won big, and nothing cures political ills quite like victory. But Republicans should have learned their lesson by now about the perils of assuming one win will automatically lead to another — and the perils of creating a cult of personality.

Furthermore, let’s not forget that DeSantis has embraced much of Trumpism as the rest of the nation objects to it. It’s far from clear that his flavor of Trumpism (just as sharp-edged and media-driven, if far more competent and perhaps less charismatic) can have the same impact in other parts of the country.

DeSantis undoubtedly has connected deeply with many GOP voters, having made a name for himself by objecting to pandemic rules. But there are already signs that issue is fading from some voters’ memories, at least when compared with other matters. One need only look at Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s big win in Michigan when abortion was on the ballot, even as the right had earlier raged against her Covid restrictions.

It should also be noted that DeSantis isn’t the only popular incumbent who ran a good race, and Florida isn’t a state where the GOP particularly needs a home-field advantage. Mike DeWine in Ohio, Chris Sununu in New Hampshire and Glenn Youngkin in Virginia all are Republican governors without Trumpist baggage in key states. In fact, DeWine outran incoming Sen. J.D. Vance in Ohio by 19 points, and Sununu outperformed Trump-backed Senate candidate Don Bolduc by nearly 25 points; DeSantis ran ahead of Sen. Marco Rubio by just 3 points.

Even Oklahoma conservative Kevin Stitt could be a more tested choice after winning a race some expected him to lose in the face of millions in outside spending. Either way, banking too much on DeSantis could unintentionally box out potentially strong candidates.

Of course, anything can happen, and DeSantis has proven himself to be a nimble politician if nothing else. But Republican commentators clinging to his success as the only way to win back swing voters and reclaim the White House are getting ahead of themselves.

Some of the same populist ventures that have delighted the GOP base could also turn off independents nationwide, whether that’s shipping migrants to Martha’s Vineyard, attacking the free expression of private businesses, regulating social media or tamping down on public protest. Perhaps DeSantis can pivot from his polarizing approach. Memories are also short, and President Joe Biden — should he run — is hardly a strong incumbent.

But Republicans now weary of Trump should be more cautious before stampeding to designate his successor. Swapping one cult of personality for another brings serious risks, not only for future electoral success but for the health of the republic.

Read also

Adeleke promises to complete Oyetola’s projects

Toy and Gadgets Gift Guide 2022 - Jurassic World, Anime and More

Japan's World Cup cup dream comes to end with shootout defeat to Croatia

News, articles, comments, with a minute-by-minute update, now on

News Every Day

The Darkest Secret and Tragedy of Edwin Valero — latest news 24/7. You can add your news instantly now — here

News Every Day

Five ways struggling families can get free cash to help pay for food this Christmas

Sports today

Новости тенниса
Вероника Кудерметова

Вероника и Полина Кудерметовы сделали символическое вбрасывание перед матчем "Ак Барса" в КХЛ

Спорт в России и мире

Британский журналист опроверг переход Роналду в «Аль-Наср»


All sports news today


Sports in Russia today


Саблисты из Подмосковья завоевали три медали на международных соревнованиях

Новости России

Game News

Bioware celebrates Dragon Age Day with a new Dreadwolf teaser


Настольный термотрансферный принтер штрих — кодов iDPRT iE4S

Губернаторы России

30 удивительных реконструкций лиц людей прошлого: от древних шаманов до отца Тутанхамона

В Москве при пожаре в квартире пострадали мать и 2-летний ребенок

Итоги проекта "Дизайн-Перспектива 2022"

Капремонт дома 1910 года завершили в центре Москвы

В Москве на Волоколамском шоссе загорелась машина

Приглашаем стать героями и участниками съемки телевизионного Новогоднего проекта!

Стань НОМИНАНТОМ или УЧАСТНИКОМ Ежегодной Международной премии – ЧЕЛОВЕК ГОДА 2022 по версии ShowMen’s | ShowWomen’s!

Волонтеры создали новогоднее настроение у детей в социально-реабилитационном центре «Ласточка»

Моргенштерн оставил в России долгов на 1,5 миллиона рублей, а Депардье — на 99 тысяч

Дарья Касаткина показала, как вместе с Натальей Забияко болеет за сборную Аргентины на ЧМ-2022 по футболу

Депутат Анатолий Амелин вместе с пущинскими волонтерами отвез гуманитарную помощь военнослужащим

Елена Веснина: За последние 10 лет Санкт-Петербург зарекомендовал себя как один из самых теннисных городов

«Взрослый душнила»: Настя Ивлеева отправила домой Алексея Смирнова после стычки с соперником

Разве не Азербайджан вместе с Турцией и Пакистаном провел учения против Армении? – иранское информационное агентство ИРНА

В Москве прошел социальный форум «Совместная работа региональных отделений Союза пенсионеров России и органов власти по сохранению здоровья пожилых людей»

В Москве прошел социальный форум «Совместная работа региональных отделений Союза пенсионеров России и органов власти по сохранению здоровья пожилых людей».

Евгения Медведева отметила Всемирный день катания на коньках на легендарном катке ВДНХ

Британский журналист опроверг переход Роналду в «Аль-Наср»

На чемпионате мира по футболу в Катаре работает волонтер с Алтая

«Без Нагорного Карабаха (Арцаха) Закавказье станет составной частью Пантюркистской империи» — глава МИД НКР Давид Бабаян

Коллекция «Роскосмос & DNK 2.0.» поможет создавать стильные семейные образы

Шоумена Гогена Солнцева госпитализировали в Москве после неудачного падения

Новак: России надо разбираться с поставками Японии нефти с проекта «Сахалин-2»

Шеф Константин Ивлев выберет лучший новогодний салат в Петрозаводске

СУЭК продолжает реализацию программы "Наше здоровье: новые подходы к организации здравоохранения"

Путин в России и мире

Персональные новости


Оркестр штаба Уральского округа Росгвардии дал большой концерт на сцене Свердловской государственной филармонии.

News Every Day

Five ways struggling families can get free cash to help pay for food this Christmas

Friends of Today24

Музыкальные новости

Персональные новости