FT Report: France and Italy Quietly Seek Deal With Iran to Safeguard Shipping Through Hormuz

Europe’s energy anxieties have surged to the forefront of international politics as tensions in the Persian Gulf threaten one of the most critical arteries of the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz.

In recent days, France and Italy have quietly opened diplomatic contacts with Iran in an attempt to secure safe passage for European commercial vessels through the strategic waterway.

The discussions, first reported by the Financial Times, underscore the growing concern among European governments that prolonged instability in the region could trigger severe economic consequences.

The Strait of Hormuz isn’t just another shipping route. It is the narrow maritime corridor through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil and a similar share of liquefied natural gas passes each day.
When traffic through this chokepoint slows or stops, the ripple effects are felt almost immediately across global markets.

European officials say the current outreach to Tehran is aimed at restoring at least partial shipping flows while avoiding a broader regional escalation. But even those involved in the discussions admit there is no certainty that Iran will agree to any arrangement guaranteeing free navigation.

The urgency of the situation is obvious. Oil prices have surged toward the $100-per-barrel mark, threatening to spike even further, while European natural gas prices have climbed dramatically since the crisis erupted.

For governments already grappling with inflation and sluggish economic growth, the prospect of a prolonged disruption in Gulf energy flows is deeply alarming.

Energy security has long been one of Europe’s most vulnerable strategic weaknesses. Despite years of rhetoric about diversification and green transition, the continent remains heavily dependent on external energy supplies.

That vulnerability becomes painfully clear whenever instability threatens the global transport routes that deliver those resources.

The Strait of Hormuz, located between Iran and Oman, is widely considered the single most important maritime bottleneck in the energy world. Although the channel is approximately fifty kilometers wide, the navigable shipping lanes used by massive oil tankers are far narrower, making the route extremely sensitive to disruption.

The International Energy Agency estimates that global oil demand now exceeds 100 million barrels per day. A large share of the energy that fuels Asia’s industrial giants—and significant volumes bound for Europe—passes through this narrow corridor. Countries such as China, India, Japan, and South Korea rely heavily on shipments moving through Hormuz.

For China in particular, the strait represents a critical lifeline. Roughly half of the country’s oil imports move through the corridor, meaning any prolonged disruption could affect manufacturing output, electricity generation, and broader economic stability.

The shockwaves of the current crisis are already being felt in financial markets.

Stock exchanges across Europe and Asia have recorded losses amid fears that escalating tensions could choke off energy supplies and drive up costs for industries dependent on oil and gas.

Shipping companies are also beginning to alter their routes. Tankers and cargo vessels that would normally pass through the Persian Gulf and the Suez Canal are increasingly being diverted around the Cape of Good Hope, a detour that adds up to two weeks to transit times. Those delays carry significant economic consequences. Longer journeys increase fuel consumption, strain supply chains, and push up the price of goods moving between Asia and Europe.

Insurance markets have reacted as well. Several maritime insurers have sharply increased premiums for vessels operating in the Persian Gulf, while others have suspended war-risk coverage entirely. Without insurance protection, many shipping companies simply refuse to enter the area. That dynamic has forced dozens of vessels to remain anchored near regional ports, waiting for clarity on whether the route will become safe again.

Meanwhile, air transport networks across the Middle East have also been affected. Airspace closures over Iran, Iraq, Syria, and parts of the Gulf have disrupted one of the busiest aviation corridors linking Asia, Europe, and North America.

For the past two decades, Gulf airports such as Dubai and Doha have served as major global hubs. But that system depends on open skies and predictable regional stability. With multiple air corridors now restricted, airlines are being forced to reroute flights through Central Asia or Africa, increasing costs and travel times.

The economic consequences extend far beyond the aviation sector. Modern supply chains rely heavily on the tight coordination between maritime shipping and air freight. When both systems experience disruption simultaneously, the result can be shortages, contract cancellations, and production slowdowns.

Central banks are watching the situation closely. Energy price spikes have historically been one of the fastest ways to trigger inflation and force policymakers into difficult decisions on interest rates. For European economies already burdened by high public debt and fragile growth, another energy shock could prove extremely painful.

Yet the diplomatic response within Europe remains fragmented.

While France and Italy have chosen to pursue direct discussions with Iran, other European governments remain skeptical about engaging Tehran directly.

Britain, for example, has not opened talks with Iranian officials regarding shipping guarantees in the strait. Instead, British authorities are focusing on consultations with Gulf states to secure alternative energy supplies.

Meanwhile, European naval forces already operating in the region are facing difficult choices.

Several countries maintain warships in the Red Sea under the EU’s Aspides maritime protection mission, but officials acknowledge that escorting commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz would carry serious risks. No European navy is currently prepared to conduct such escort operations if the threat of attack remains high.

French President Emmanuel Macron has stated that military escorts could be considered if tensions ease and if Iran agrees to respect freedom of navigation.

Until then, European governments appear to be relying primarily on diplomacy.

Turkey has also been drawn into the crisis. According to Turkish transport officials, a Turkish-owned vessel was recently granted permission by Iranian authorities to transit the strait after negotiations.

Fourteen additional Turkish vessels remain in the region awaiting similar authorization. The situation illustrates the delicate balance many governments are trying to strike.

Of course, no country wants to see the global energy artery closed, yet few are eager to trigger a wider conflict that could make matters even worse.

Ultimately, the Strait of Hormuz is more than just a geographic chokepoint. It is a central pillar of the global economic system—a place where geopolitics, energy markets, and international trade intersect.

When that pillar begins to shake, the consequences travel quickly from oil tankers and shipping routes to household energy bills and national budgets.

The turmoil surrounding Hormuz shows just how fragile that system can become when global tensions spill into the world’s most important energy corridor.

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