Wall Street ticks up modestly as investors await a major release of oil reserves
Wall Street pointed toward modest gains in premarket trading Wednesday as energy prices stabilized somewhat on optimism that a major release of oil reserves was imminent.
Futures for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq were all up around 0.1% before the opening bell.
Oil prices have remained sharply below their peaks near $120 a barrel hit on Monday over fears that the war with Iran would be protracted. Such spikes have been rocking financial markets worldwide because of worries that the war could block the global flow of oil and natural gas for an extended period.
Early Wednesday, U.S. benchmark crude oil was up 2.8% at $85.76 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, rose 2.6% to $89.99 a barrel. Both had been up more than 5% earlier.
The U.S. said it took out more than a dozen minelaying Iranian vessels Tuesday, and the Islamic Republic vowed to block the region’s oil exports, saying it would not allow “even a single liter” to be shipped to its enemies.
“With Iran continuing to threaten vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, the focus will be on how the U.S. and other major economies will ensure the flowing of crude oil via this narrow passage and alternative routes to help stabilize prices,” Fawad Razaqzada of Forex.com wrote in a market report.
A major release of emergency oil reserves will only buy time, he said. “The real issue is the disruption to supply flows, and the longer that continues unresolved, the higher oil prices are likely to go if the Iran war continues.”
Germany’s economy minister said Wednesday the country would release parts of its oil reserves following a request by the International Energy Agency. The IEA requested that member states release oil reserves totaling about 400 million barrels.
Economy Minister Katharina Reiche said after Germany triggers the release it would take a couple of days until the “delivery of the first quantities.”
U.S. President Donald Trump has remained clear about his desire to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. The war has effectively blocked the waterway off Iran’s coast, where a fifth of the world’s oil sails on a typical day.
Stock markets have a history of bouncing back relatively quickly from military conflicts, as long as oil prices don’t stay too high for too long. Uncertainty about whether that may happen this time around has led to stunning swings up and down for markets worldwide, often hour-to-hour.
If oil prices do stay high for long, household budgets already stretched by high inflation could snap under the pressure. Companies would see their own bills jump for fuel and to stock items on their store shelves or in their data warehouses. It all raises the possibility of a worst-case scenario for the global economy, “stagflation,” where growth stagnates and inflation remains high.
Coming Wednesday is the government’s latest consumer prices report, which is expected to show that inflation rose again last month.
It was already widely expected that the inflation fighters at the Federal Reserve would leave their benchmark interest rate alone when they meet next week. If data shows another spike in prices — along with the likelihood that gas prices will remain elevated as long as the conflict in the Middle East drags on — it would virtually guarantee that Fed officials pass on an interest rate cut this time around.
In equities trading, Oracle’s shares on the Nasdaq surged close to 10% in premarket early Wednesday after the company reported its earnings and revenue jumped 20% in the last quarter, much better than analysts had forecast.
Elsewhere, in Europe at midday, Germany’s DAX slipped 0.8%, while the CAC 40 in Paris fell 0.3%. Britain’s FTSE 100 also shed 0.8%.
Markets were mixed in Asia, where Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 gained 1.4% to 55,025.37.
South Korea’s Kospi picked up 1.4% to 5,609.95 after gaining more than 3% earlier in the day.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng fell back, slipping 0.2% to 25,898.76, while the Shanghai Composite index climbed 0.3% to 4,133.43.
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.6% to $8,743.50.
Taiwan’s benchmark climbed 4.1% and the Sensex in India fell 1.8%. In Thailand, where worries over oil and gas supplies have prompted the government to order energy-saving measures, Bangkok’s SET gained 0.1%.