2025 Golden Globes winner predictions: Official odds for ‘Anora,’ ‘The Brutalist,’ and all nominees

With Hollywood’s biggest party of the year just days away, the final odds are in.

The Brutalist, the period piece about a Holocaust survivor who tries to achieve the American dream, is predicted to lead the Golden Globes with four victories: drama film, drama actor for Adrien Brody, director for Brady Corbet, and score for Daniel Blumberg, according to Gold Derby’s final winner predictions. Next in line on the movie side is Anora, which tells the story of a sex worker who marries the wrong man, with three forecasted wins: comedy film, comedy actress for Mikey Madison, and screenplay for Sean Baker.

Meanwhile, the two big television champs are expected to be FX’s historical epic Shōgun (drama series, drama actor for Hiroyuki Sanada, and drama actress for Anna Sawai), and Netflix’s stalker thriller Baby Reindeer (limited series, limited actor for Richard Gadd, and supporting actress for Jessica Gunning). Both of these programs recently dominated the Emmy Awards.

More than 2,800 people have voted in our prediction polls following the Globe nominations last month. Below is a snapshot of our film odds and TV odds for the 82nd annual ceremony, updated on Jan. 2, 2025. Our predicted winners are denoted in gold. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Golden Globes snapshots on Dec. 11, Dec. 20 and Dec. 27.

Gold Derby’s Golden Globe odds are based on the combined forecasts of experts from major media outlets, our editors who cover awards year-round, the top 24 users with the best accuracy scores last year, and the mass of users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. Track the awards races by exploring all of our charts and graphs, and be sure to sound off in our forums.

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The 82nd Golden Globe Awards will take place live at the Beverly Hilton Hotel on Jan. 5, 2025.

Note: Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Productions is owned by Penske Media Eldridge, a joint venture between Eldridge and Penske Media Corporation, which owns Gold Derby.

BEST FILM DRAMA

1. The Brutalist — 17/5
2. Conclave — 19/5
3. A Complete Unknown — 11/2
4. Dune: Part Two — 6/1
5. Nickel Boys — 6/1
6. September 5 — 7/1

BEST FILM DRAMA ACTRESS

1. Angelina Jolie (Maria) — 39/10
2. Nicole Kidman (Babygirl) — 4/1
3. Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here) — 9/2
4. Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl) — 11/2
5. Kate Winslet (Lee) — 13/2
6. Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door) — 7/1

BEST FILM DRAMA ACTOR

1. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) — 69/20
2. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) — 9/2
3. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) — 9/2
4. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) — 11/2
5. Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) — 7/1
6. Daniel Craig (Queer) — 7/1

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL

1. Anora — 18/5
2. Wicked — 9/2
3. Emilia Pérez — 9/2
4. The Substance — 6/1
5. A Real Pain — 13/2
6. Challengers — 15/2

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS

1. Mikey Madison (Anora) — 7/2
2. Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) — 9/2
3. Demi Moore (The Substance) — 9/2
4. Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez) — 5/1
5. Zendaya (Challengers) — 7/1
6. Amy Adams (Nightbitch) — 15/2

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR

1. Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain) — 37/10
2. Sebastian Stan (A Different Man) — 4/1
3. Glen Powell (Hit Man) — 5/1
4. Hugh Grant (Heretic) — 5/1
5. Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday Night) — 7/1
6. Jesse Plemons (Kinds of Kindness) — 7/1

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) — 7/2
2. Ariana Grande (Wicked) — 19/5
3. Isabella Rossellini (Conclave) — 11/2
4. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) — 6/1
5. Margaret Qualley (The Substance) — 13/2
6. Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) — 13/2

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) — 10/3
2. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) — 4/1
3. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) — 11/2
4. Yura Borisov (Anora) — 11/2
5. Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown) — 13/2
6. Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) — 13/2

BEST FILM DIRECTOR

1. Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) — 71/20
2. Sean Baker (Anora) — 9/2
3. Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez) — 5/1
4. Edward Berger (Conclave) — 11/2
5. Coralie Fargeat (The Substance) — 6/1
6. Payal Kapadia (All We Imagine as Light) — 15/2

BEST FILM SCREENPLAY

1. Anora — 69/20
2. Conclave — 9/2
3. A Real Pain — 5/1
4. The Brutalist — 11/2
5. The Substance — 6/1
6. Emilia Pérez — 7/1

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. The Wild Robot — 82/25
2. Flow — 4/1
3. Inside Out 2 — 5/1
4. Memoir of a Snail — 6/1
5. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl — 6/1
6. Moana 2 — 15/2

BEST NON-ENGLISH FILM

1. Emilia Pérez — 17/5
2. All We Imagine as Light — 4/1
3. The Seed of the Sacred Fig — 5/1
4. I’m Still Here — 11/2
5. Vermiglio — 7/1
6. The Girl with the Needle — 15/2

BEST SCORE

1. The Brutalist — 19/5
2. Conclave — 4/1
3. Challengers — 5/1
4. The Wild Robot — 11/2
5. Emilia Pérez — 6/1
6. Dune: Part Two — 13/2

BEST SONG

1. The Wild Robot (“Kiss the Sky”) — 19/5
2. Emilia Pérez (“El Mal”) — 4/1
3. Emilia Pérez (“Mi Camino”) — 9/2
4. The Last Showgirl (“Beautiful That Way”) — 11/2
5. Better Man (“Forbidden Road”) — 13/2
6. Challengers (“Compress/Repress”) — 7/1

CINEMATIC AND BOX OFFICE ACHIEVEMENT

1. Wicked — 39/10
2. Deadpool and Wolverine — 6/1
3. Inside Out 2 — 13/2
4. Gladiator II — 8/1
5. The Wild Robot — 8/1
6. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice — 19/2
7. Alien: Romulus — 19/2
8. Twisters — 19/2

BEST DRAMA SERIES

1. Shōgun — 82/25
2. Slow Horses — 9/2
3. The Diplomat — 5/1
4. Mr. and Mrs. Smith — 6/1
5. The Day of the Jackal — 6/1
6. Squid Game — 13/2

BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (Shōgun) — 7/2
2. Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) — 4/1
3. Eddie Redmayne (The Day of the Jackal) — 5/1
4. Jake Gyllenhaal (Presumed Innocent) — 6/1
5. Billy Bob Thornton (Landman) — 13/2
6. Donald Glover (Mr. and Mrs. Smith) — 13/2

BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS

1. Anna Sawai (Shōgun) — 71/20
2. Kathy Bates (Matlock) — 9/2
3. Keri Russell (The Diplomat) — 9/2
4. Keira Knightley (Black Doves) — 11/2
5. Maya Erskine (Mr. and Mrs. Smith) — 6/1
6. Emma D’Arcy (House of the Dragon) — 7/1

BEST COMEDY SERIES

1. Hacks — 71/20
2. Nobody Wants This — 4/1
3. The Bear — 9/2
4. Only Murders in the Building — 11/2
5. Abbott Elementary — 13/2
6. The Gentlemen — 7/1

BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR

1. Adam Brody (Nobody Wants This) — 19/5
2. Jeremy Allen White (The Bear) — 4/1
3. Ted Danson (A Man on the Inside) — 9/2
4. Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building) — 11/2
5. Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building) — 13/2
6. Jason Segel (Shrinking) — 7/1

BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS

1. Jean Smart (Hacks) — 10/3
2. Kristen Bell (Nobody Wants This) — 4/1
3. Ayo Edebiri (The Bear) — 5/1
4. Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) — 6/1
5. Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building) — 13/2
6. Kathryn Hahn (Agatha All Along) — 13/2

BEST LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE

1. Baby Reindeer — 10/3
2. The Penguin — 4/1
3. Disclaimer — 5/1
4. Ripley — 11/2
5. Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story — 7/1
6. True Detective: Night Country — 7/1

BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR

1. Richard Gadd (Baby Reindeer) — 18/5
2. Colin Farrell (The Penguin) — 39/10
3. Andrew Scott (Ripley) — 9/2
4. Cooper Koch (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 6/1
5. Kevin Kline (Disclaimer) — 6/1
6. Ewan McGregor (A Gentleman in Moscow) — 7/1

BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS

1. Jodie Foster (True Detective: Night Country) — 37/10
2. Cristin Milioti (The Penguin) — 39/10
3. Cate Blanchett (Disclaimer) — 9/2
4. Sofia Vergara (Griselda) — 6/1
5. Naomi Watts (Feud: Capote vs. The Swans) — 13/2
6. Kate Winslet (The Regime) — 7/1

BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear) — 19/5
2. Tadanobu Asano (Shōgun) — 9/2
3. Jack Lowden (Slow Horses) — 5/1
4. Javier Bardem (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 11/2
5. Harrison Ford (Shrinking) — 11/2
6. Diego Luna (La Maquina) — 7/1

BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Jessica Gunning (Baby Reindeer) — 10/3
2. Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) — 9/2
3. Liza Colón-Zayas (The Bear) — 5/1
4. Allison Janney (The Diplomat) — 11/2
5. Kali Reis (True Detective: Night Country) — 13/2
6. Dakota Fanning (Ripley) — 7/1

BEST TV STAND-UP COMEDY PERFORMANCE

1. Nikki Glaser: Someday You’ll Die — 7/2
2. Jamie Foxx: What Had Happened Was — 4/1
3. Adam Sandler: Love You — 11/2
4. Ali Wong: Single Lady — 6/1
5. Seth Meyers: Dad Man Walking — 6/1
6. Ramy Youssef: More Feelings — 13/2

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