Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: Yura Borisov breaks into top five for ‘Anora’ [Updated Nov. 25]

If the 2025 Oscars nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Since our predictions center opened on July 1, 2024, more than 6,000 people have made their forecasts in 18 top categories. So who’s out front to claim these golden trophies, according to the Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025?

Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 97th Academy Awards, updated on Nov. 25, 2024. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Oscar snapshots on July 3, July 9, July 16, July 23, July 29, Aug. 6, Aug. 19, Aug. 28, Sept. 11, Sept. 19, Sept. 23, Sept. 30, Oct. 7, Oct. 14, Oct. 22, Oct. 28, Nov. 4, Nov. 11, and Nov. 18.

Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: Yura Borisov (“Anora”) in Best Supporting Actor. The Neon film centers around the titular character, a sex worker (Mikey Madison) who embarks on a whirlwind romance with a client, the young son of a Russian oligarch. After the boy and Anora elope in Las Vegas, a trio of goons are sent to fix the issue, including Igor (Borisov), for whom looks can be deceiving.

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Gold Derby’s Academy Awards odds are based on the combined forecasts of experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, editors who cover awards year-round for this website, top 24 users who had the best accuracy scores last year, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Oscar predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners. Track the awards races by exploring all of our charts and graphs.

BEST PICTURE

Predicted Nominees

1. “Anora” — 7/1
2. “The Brutalist” — 15/2
3. “Conclave” — 8/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 17/2
5. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/2
6. “Sing Sing” — 12/1
7. “Wicked” — 13/1
8. “A Real Pain” — 16/1
9. “Nickel Boys” — 18/1
10. “Gladiator II” — 25/1

Predicted Spoilers

“September 5,” “Blitz,” “A Complete Unknown,” “The Substance,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig”
See more Best Picture contenders …

BEST DIRECTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”) — 39/10
2. Sean Baker (“Anora”) — 4/1
3. Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Pérez”) — 13/2
4. Edward Berger (“Conclave”) — 13/2
5. Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Part Two”) — 15/2

Predicted Spoilers

RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”), Coralie Fargeat (“The Substance”), Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), Mohammad Rasoulof (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”), Jon M. Chu (“Wicked”)
See more Best Director contenders …

BEST ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Mikey Madison (“Anora”) — 37/10
2. Karla Sofía Gascón (“Emilia Pérez”) — 9/2
3. Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) — 9/2
4. Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”) — 15/2
5. Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”) — 9/1

Predicted Spoilers

Demi Moore (“The Substance”), Cynthia Erivo (“Wicked”), Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Fernanda Torres (“I’m Still Here”), Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”)
See more Best Actress contenders …

BEST ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) — 37/10
2. Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”) — 37/10
3. Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”) — 4/1
4. Timothée Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”) — 5/1
5. Daniel Craig (“Queer”) — 10/1

Predicted Spoilers

Jesse Eisenberg (“A Real Pain”), Sebastian Stan (“The Apprentice”), Paul Mescal (“Gladiator II”), John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”), Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”)
See more Best Actor contenders …

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Zoe Saldaña (“Emilia Pérez”) — 71/20
2. Ariana Grande (“Wicked”) — 11/2
3. Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”) — 11/2
4. Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”) — 6/1
5. Saoirse Ronan (“Blitz”) — 23/2

Predicted Spoilers

Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”), Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Nickel Boys”), Selena Gomez (“Emilia Pérez”), Monica Barbaro (“A Complete Unknown”), Margaret Qualley (“The Substance”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) — 37/10
2. Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”) — 9/2
3. Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”) — 5/1
4. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) — 11/2
5. Yura Borisov (“Anora”) — 10/1

Predicted Spoilers

Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”), Edward Norton (“A Complete Unknown”), Jeremy Strong (“The Apprentice”), Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”), Mark Eydelshteyn (“Anora”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Predicted Nominees

1. “Conclave” — 7/2
2. “Sing Sing” — 9/2
3. “Nickel Boys” — 11/2
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 15/2
5. “Dune: Part Two” — 17/2

Predicted Spoilers

“The Room Next Door,” “The Piano Lesson,” “I’m Still Here,” “The Wild Robot,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Adapted Screenplay contenders …

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Predicted Nominees

1. “Anora” — 17/5
2. “The Brutalist” — 4/1
3. “A Real Pain” — 5/1
4. “The Substance” — 17/2
5. “September 5” — 19/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Hard Truths,” “Saturday Night,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “Blitz,” “Challengers”
See more Best Original Screenplay contenders …

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Predicted Nominees

1. “The Brutalist” — 7/2
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 4/1
3. “Emilia Pérez” — 7/1
4. “Nickel Boys” — 15/2
5. “Maria” — 17/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Conclave,” “Nosferatu,” “Gladiator II,” “Wicked,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Cinematography contenders …

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Predicted Nominees

1. “Wicked” — 17/5
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/2
3. “Gladiator II” — 9/2
4. “Maria” — 11/2
5. “Blitz” — 11/1

Predicted Spoilers

“The Brutalist,” “Nosferatu,” “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice,” “Conclave,” “The Substance”
See more Best Costume Design contenders …

BEST FILM EDITING

Predicted Nominees

1. “The Brutalist” — 19/5
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/2
3. “Anora” — 5/1
4. “Conclave” — 11/2
5. “Emilia Pérez” — 7/1

Predicted Spoilers

“September 5,” “Challengers,” “Gladiator II,” “The Substance,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Film Editing contenders …

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Predicted Nominees

1. “The Substance” — 39/10
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/2
3. “Wicked” — 5/1
4. “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” — 11/2
5. “Nosferatu” — 7/1

Predicted Spoilers

“A Different Man,” “Emilia Pérez,” “The Apprentice,” “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga,” “Sasquatch Sunset”
See more Best Makeup & Hairstyling contenders …

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Predicted Nominees

1. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/5
2. “Wicked” — 39/10
3. “The Brutalist” — 9/2
4. “Gladiator II” — 5/1
5. “Blitz” — 17/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Conclave,” “Nosferatu,” “Emilia Pérez,” “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga,” “Maria”
See more Best Production Design contenders …

BEST SCORE

Predicted Nominees

1. “The Brutalist” — 39/10
2. “Conclave” — 4/1
3. “The Wild Robot” — 11/2
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 13/2
5. “Challengers” — 9/1

Predicted Spoilers

“The Room Next Door,” “Saturday Night,” “Gladiator II,” “Blitz,” “Wicked”
See more Best Score contenders …

BEST SONG

Predicted Nominees

1. “Emilia Pérez” (“El Mal”) — 9/2
2. “The Wild Robot” (“Kiss the Sky”) — 5/1
3. “The Six Triple Eight” (“The Journey”) — 6/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” (“Mi Camino”) — 13/2
5. “Sing Sing” (“Like a Bird”) — 8/1

Predicted Spoilers

“Moana 2” (“Beyond”), “Will and Harper” (“Harper and Will Go West”), “Piece by Piece” (“Piece by Piece”), “Blitz” (“Winter Coat”), “Mufasa: The Lion King” (“I Always Wanted a Brother”)
See more Best Song contenders …

BEST SOUND

Predicted Nominees

1. “Dune: Part Two” — 17/5
2. “Gladiator II” — 9/2
3. “Wicked” — 11/2
4. “Blitz” — 7/1
5. “Emilia Pérez” — 8/1

Predicted Spoilers

“Twisters,” “A Complete Unknown,” “Conclave,” “Nosferatu,” “The Brutalist”
See more Best Sound contenders …

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Predicted Nominees

1. “Dune: Part Two” — 17/5
2. “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” — 9/2
3. “Gladiator II” — 5/1
4. “Wicked” — 7/1
5. “Twisters” — 8/1

Predicted Spoilers

“Mufasa: The Lion King,” “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga,” “Better Man,” “Alien: Romulus,” “Deadpool and Wolverine”
See more Best Visual Effects contenders …

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Predicted Nominees

1. “The Wild Robot” — 82/25
2. “Inside Out 2” — 4/1
3. “Memoir of a Snail” — 9/2
4. “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” — 6/1
5. “Flow” — 6/1

Predicted Spoilers

“Moana 2,” “Piece by Piece,” “Transformers One,” “Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim,” “Despicable Me 4”
See more Best Animated Feature contenders …

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