Black Americans WILL vote for Trump – and the important reason why is glaringly obvious, pollsters says
PRO-Democratic Black Americans will ditch their support for Kamala Harris and vote for Donald Trump because of an important but glaringly obvious reason, an expert pollster has said.
As Trump and Harris pit against each other in the final hours of this year’s biggest election, one simple thing could turn the tables in favour of the Republicans.
For many voters, the inflation in the U.S. economy stands as a pivotal reason as to who they want to pick as their next President.
Leading pollster James Johnson says that many non-White voters who he spoke are now leaning on to the Republicans, who have promised to save the U.S. economy from Joe Biden’s “disasters”.
Mr. Johnson told The Sun’s political editor Harry Cole on Never Mind The Ballots: “The dynamic thing that is not being spoken about this race is what non-White voters do.
“Voters who have been traditionally heavily Democrats are turning to Doland Trump […] the pro-Trump voters in my focus group were all black or Asian Americans.
“For months I asked voters in the campaign why Trump, and one 31-year-old black woman, who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 but didn’t vote in 2020, said she was going to vote for Trump because of the economy.
“This tells a bit of a story about this election, and a lot of these undecided [areas] may come down and it may just be something as simple as the inflation in the economy.”
Black voters have long been the most loyal to the Democratic party and played a huge role in pushing Joe Biden to the White House in 2020.
However, some young Black voters and Black men of all ages seemed to have withdrawn their support from Biden’s campaign.
And according to an NAACP poll, over one-quarter of younger Black men say they would support Republican candidate Donald Trump in this year’s U.S. presidential election.
While there remain many key issues for Trump and Harris to fight in this election – inducing border controls and abortion rights – the U.S. economy has stood at the top of voters’ concerns.
And Trump holds the upper hand in easing the price burden of essential goods for American consumers, political analysts told The U.S. Sun.
Since Biden took over the office in 2020, food prices have shot up by 22 per cent, per a Guardian index.
But Trump has promised the American citizens he would “Make America affordable again” by laying out seven core economic policies.
His main economic policies during this election campaign can be summarized into just three things – economic protectionism, tax cuts and prioritising hydrocarbons as the dominant energy source in the U.S.
His campaign is promoting large tax cuts for workers, keeping the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, cancelling President Biden’s electric vehicle mandate and cutting “burdensome regulations”.
David Wasserman, a political analyst and former editor of The Cook Political Report, said that undecided voters will be more focused on the cost of living and inflation.
“They’re less likely to be basing their vote on abortion or immigration,” the expert told The U.S. Sun.
“Trump still has the edge when it comes to handling the economy – but [Harris] has got to put the spotlight on Trump, which she’s trying to do.”
RACE TO THE PRESIDENCY
There are many ways in which Trump and Harris can reach the 270 electoral college vote, but some are more likely than others.
At least 226 electoral votes from 19 states, including the District of Columbia, are expected to go to Harris, with California holding 54, Illinois at 19, and New York with 28.
Harris must then take home at least 44 of the 93 electoral college votes from the swing states to reach 270 overall.
One route for the vice president would be a win in Pennsylvania with 19 votes, as well as Georgia and North Carolina both holding 16.
Meanwhile, Republicans will receive at least 219 electoral votes from 24 states, including Texas contributing 40, Florida‘s 30, and Ohio with 17.
Trump will need at least 51 of the 93 battleground votes in order to earn 270 electoral votes.
The easiest route to the White House will be for Trump to win North Carolina, Georgia, and Pennsylvania.
The former president would need to win four swing states to reach the presidency, while Harris would need three of the seven to defeat Trump.
Either candidate would win the presidency if they won five or more battleground states.
How do the US presidential elections work?
BY Ellie Doughty, Foreign News Reporter
The Democratic and Republican parties nominate their candidates with a series of votes – called state primaries and caucuses – in the run-up to the election in November, held every four years.
This gives members the opportunity to choose who they want to lead the party into an election – this year, Donald Trump and following Biden’s resignation, Kamala Harris.
There are also some independent candidates running for president – arguably the most well-known was Robert F Kennedy Jr who pulled out in August and endorsed Trump.
In US elections the winner is not the candidate who gets the most votes across the country.
Instead Trump and Harris will compete to win smaller contests held in each of the 50 states.
Many of the states often vote the same way – but seven of them – Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Wisconsin, Nevada and Arizona – tend to go in either direction.
Each state has a number of electoral college votes – partly based on population sizes – with a total of 538 across the country up for grabs.
The winner is the candidate that gets 270 or more, marking a majority in the electoral college.
All but two of the US’ 50 states – Maine and Nebraska – have a winner-takes-all rule.
Meaning whichever candidate gets the highest number of votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.
In 2016 Hillary Clinton won more votes nationally than Donald Trump – but she still lost the election because of electoral college votes.
The candidate who will win this election is the one who secures 270 or more college ballots.
Usually the winner is declared on the night, but it can take days to finalise the result.
In 2020 Joe Biden wasn’t officially announced as the president-elect until November 7.
The new president will be sworn into office in January on the steps of the Capitol building in Washington DC.