The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 October 2024: Seven day outlook for Sydney
TG has constantly striven – if that’s a word – over the years, to bring you objective measures of wave/ surf conditions, to help you judge if a surf is worth your while or not.
First there was the daily Crowd Estimate Figure (CEF), then the Car Patk Index (CPI, if you will), to supplement the more subjective, less precice assessments and descriptors like NGB, Messy, Yahoo, and so on.
Always the Innovator, today TG gives you The SKI – The School Kids Index.
Now as we all know, schoolkids will go in literally _anything_ after school. So the SKI has to be used with care. But the SKI can be useful in certain scenarios, especially at the extremes of measurement.
Putting everything together should give you a pretty good picture – even better than you can get on a surfcam
So today (Thursday): Waves are 2.19 metres, at 8.17 seconds from SE/ E (courtesy MHL)…. or TG’s 1-2 metre range..
… Buutt…
CEF is Zero,
CPI is Zero (tyrekickers, whalewatchers, nappers etc are trimmed from the figures)…
And the SKI is Zero.
If that doesn’t give you an idea of just how bad it is, then try the descriptors Messy, Choppy, Onshore, NBG, and AOTP (All Over the Place).
The Surf Outlook for tomorrow is something similar. With lots of changable windy wind forecast by the Bureau, the outlook for the weekend and week ahead is not looking all that great.. Variable conditions mean grab it when you can >> Check the BoM’s wind expectations each day>>
Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East/East
Saturday: starting to come up into the 2 – 2+ metre range at places open to dead South
Sunday: easing back to around 1-1+ metres South East
Monday: ditto
Tuesday: starting to come up again, around 2 – 2+ metres at dead South spots
Wednesday: ditto South East
Thursday: easing back into the 1-2 metre range South East
Have Fun, Stay safe.
TG.
Up in the Air
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml
Winds
https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.364,151.221,8
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 20-21
Tides
https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2024-06/tide-tables-24-25-nsw.pdf
Weather from the Bureau
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Showers.
- Chance of any rain: 80%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]
Friday 25 October
- Summary
- Min 13
- Max 21
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly 20 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon, reaching 25 to 35 km/h near the coast.
Fire Danger – Moderate
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]
Saturday 26 October
- Summary
- Min 13
- Max 20
- Mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting easterly in the afternoon.
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]
Sunday 27 October
- Summary
- Min 12
- Max 25
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]
Monday 28 October
- Summary
- Min 15
- Max 28
- Possible shower developing.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Sunny morning. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then turning southerly 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon.
Tuesday 29 October
- Summary
- Min 15
- Max 21
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h.
Wednesday 30 October
- Summary
- Min 14
- Max 23
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southerly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.
Thursday 31 October
- Summary
- Min 16
- Max 23
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.