Cyber Warfare And Emerging Technologies: Securing Pakistan’s Future – OpEd
As technology continues to evolve, future wars will likely be fought not by humans alone but with machines playing a central role. However, human control may still influence the operations of these machines, especially in cyber warfare.
Today, states have a variety of methods to attack each other that go beyond conventional warfare. These include cyber operations alongside military, economic, or political strategies. With emerging innovations and recent technological advancements, cyberspace has become a new domain of warfare, presenting complex threats. From a national security perspective, cyber warfare—the use of information technology to infiltrate a country's classified databases or strike its essential systems—is one of the most menacing forms of conflict.
The frequency and intensity of cyber warfare are increasing, fueled by the advancement of technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and quantum computing (QC). These technologies not only amplify the number of cyber threats but also increase their sophistication. To secure its place as a dominant force in cyberspace, Pakistan must begin mastering these cyber realms today. By positioning itself as a hub of AI and QC, Pakistan can make a significant global impact.
Cyber Warfare
Cyber warfare refers to computer and network operations intended to control or disrupt vital ICT resources in a state or government, aiming to cause harm or espionage. In many countries, the dependency on technology has made cyber threats more frequent.
A historic example is the Morris Worm, the first major hacker attack that affected up to six thousand computers, causing losses ranging from one hundred thousand to millions of dollars. It targeted Unix operating systems, deleting files and slowing down operations. Another significant incident was the Stuxnet Worm, used by the United States against Iran’s nuclear program. Stuxnet not only destroyed nearly 1,000 uranium enrichment centrifuges, delaying Iran’s nuclear ambitions, but it also infected Windows computers and networks, spreading rapidly through a USB drive.
AI and Quantum Computing in Warfare
AI and QC are shaping the future of technology and warfare. AI, which processes vast amounts of data and runs algorithms to identify patterns, is highly advanced and adaptable. However, its potential use in weapon technology raises serious concerns. QC, with its unparalleled computational power, can perform calculations simultaneously by leveraging quantum mechanics.
Both AI and QC pose serious threats to national security because of their autonomous capabilities and the difficulty of preventing them from being exploited. AI systems, which can simulate human intelligence, are revolutionizing problem-solving and innovation but are also susceptible to cyberattacks. Data breaches in centralized servers, which house sensitive information, can expose AI systems to these attacks, allowing hackers to target critical infrastructure like power grids or classified databases.
In military operations, the integration of AI—especially in autonomous weapon systems—could surpass conventional forces in terms of both damage and risk. However, for a country like Pakistan, AI has the potential to strengthen cyber defenses and augment intelligence capabilities, providing a vital edge in defense strategies. Properly managed, AI could defend against emerging cyber threats while significantly improving data analysis and cybersecurity efforts.
Pakistan’s Cybersecurity Landscape
Despite Pakistan’s growing reliance on digital technologies, the population remains vulnerable to online threats due to low cybersecurity literacy. Phishing, identity fraud, and other cybercrimes continue to pose serious risks to everyday users who lack the tools to protect themselves. This calls for increased government involvement, as well as the role of corporations in promoting cybersecurity education. On a larger scale, external threats, particularly from India, have intensified. India has simultaneously enhanced its cyber warfare capabilities, often compromising Pakistan's government and military networks. This emphasizes the urgent need for Pakistan to bolster its national cyber defenses.
To address the rising threats in cyberspace, the Pakistani government must improve its national cybersecurity infrastructure and develop robust cyber defense mechanisms. Strengthening institutions such as the national Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT) will be critical in preventing or mitigating attacks on critical infrastructure. However, Pakistan faces a shortage of skilled cybersecurity professionals, which necessitates cooperation with countries like China and Turkey, both of which are more advanced in this field. Collaboration on threat intelligence sharing and joint cybersecurity exercises can help Pakistan manage vulnerabilities and fortify its defenses.
AI, QC, and the Future of Pakistan’s Cybersecurity
As AI and QC continue to influence the future of cybersecurity, Pakistan must invest in research and development in these fields. AI, in particular, can play a crucial role in combating anticipated cyber threats. Pakistan must also focus on improving cybersecurity literacy and infrastructure to safeguard against both domestic and external threats. This involves not only governmental efforts but also corporate responsibility and public awareness initiatives. Moreover, the continued rise of external threats, such as cyber operations by India, underscores the need for strong national cybersecurity policies and international cooperation.
Pakistan’s future in cyberspace depends on its ability to adapt to and master these emerging technologies. With a solid investment in AI research and the development of comprehensive cybersecurity strategies, Pakistan can defend itself against future cyber threats while enhancing its intelligence capabilities and securing its position as a global player in the realm of cyber warfare.