Add news
March 2010
April 2010
May 2010June 2010July 2010
August 2010
September 2010October 2010
November 2010
December 2010
January 2011
February 2011March 2011April 2011May 2011June 2011July 2011August 2011September 2011October 2011November 2011December 2011January 2012February 2012March 2012April 2012May 2012June 2012July 2012August 2012September 2012October 2012November 2012December 2012January 2013February 2013March 2013April 2013May 2013June 2013July 2013August 2013September 2013October 2013November 2013December 2013January 2014February 2014March 2014April 2014May 2014June 2014July 2014August 2014September 2014October 2014November 2014December 2014January 2015February 2015March 2015April 2015May 2015June 2015July 2015August 2015September 2015October 2015November 2015December 2015January 2016February 2016March 2016April 2016May 2016June 2016July 2016August 2016September 2016October 2016November 2016December 2016January 2017February 2017March 2017April 2017May 2017June 2017July 2017August 2017September 2017October 2017November 2017December 2017January 2018February 2018March 2018April 2018May 2018June 2018July 2018August 2018September 2018October 2018November 2018December 2018January 2019February 2019March 2019April 2019May 2019June 2019July 2019August 2019September 2019October 2019November 2019December 2019January 2020February 2020March 2020April 2020May 2020June 2020July 2020August 2020September 2020October 2020November 2020December 2020January 2021February 2021March 2021April 2021
News Every Day |

MLB Betting Guide: Friday 4/2/21

numberFire has built comprehensive algorithms to pinpoint the bets with the highest probability of returning money, whether you are betting on the total, a line, or moneyline. For those new to numberFire, we use a five-star system to show which bets you should be targeting on any given night. Stars represent how much you should risk on a wager relative to what you would normally bet.

For example, if you would normally bet $110 to win $100 on a -110 spread wager, if we give a three-star ranking, we suggest risking three times that amount: $330 to win $300.

Using our model as a guide, let’s take a look at the best bets to make at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you’re seeing the most updated information.

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

Over 7.5 (+100): 2-Star Rating out of 5

These two teamed up for a whole one run yesterday when our model pointed to the over as a good bet. That’s a big welp. But we’re right back on the saddle today, and over 7.5 runs in this game is the only bet of the night our algorithm rates as more than a one-star play.

The pitching matchup today is a much more over-friendly clash than what we saw on Opening Day as it’s Ryan Yarbrough against Pablo Lopez. While both guys are decent, they have some warts, as well.

Yarbrough has a career 20.3% strikeout rate and 4.17 SIERA. His 4.44 SIERA last year paints a much different picture than his 3.56 ERA does. As for Lopez, he broke out last season with a 3.98 SIERA and 24.6% strikeout rate. But that was a shortened 2020 (57 1/3 innings), and he owned career marks of a 4.39 SIERA and 19.7% strikeout rate coming into last season. We’ll have to see if his numbers carry over to 2021.

We project a 4.46-3.99 win tonight for the Rays. That’s a total of 8.65 runs, and we think the over hits 57.4% of the time.

San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners

Giants Moneyline (+108): 1-Star Rating out of 5

The San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners played a really fun game last night, and we forecast another tight matchup today. Our model has the Giants winning 4.26-4.10, and with San Fran a slight +108 underdog on the moneyline, there’s value in taking the Giants to win.

San Francisco is giving the ball to Johnny Cueto while Yusei Kikuchi is taking the bump for Seattle. It’s hard to find many positives for Cueto as he hasn’t posted a SIERA better than 4.47 SIERA since 2016. He did have a respectable 20.2% strikeout rate a season ago, and the Mariners’ offense doesn’t pack too much punch. Of course, the Giants’ lineup is pretty blah, too. But San Fran did have a .358 wOBA against lefties last year, and guys like Buster Posey, Evan Longoria, Austin Slater and Wilmer Flores are pretty good in the split.

In short, our model sees this game as basically a toss-up, and the Giants moneyline (+108) is more appealing than Seattle’s (-128). On a night where betting value is hard to find, our algorithm rates San Francisco on the moneyline as a one-star wager.

The post MLB Betting Guide: Friday 4/2/21 first appeared on SportsGrid.

Read also

Can you travel with kids if you're fully vaccinated?

It’s No T-14 Armata, But Russia’s T-72 Tank Keeps on Killing

Missing girl, 9, who disappeared while riding her bike in Hampshire is found by cops

News, articles, comments, with a minute-by-minute update, now on — latest news 24/7. You can add your news instantly now — here
News Every Day

Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren live stream, round by round results, updates