March 2010 April 2010 May 2010 June 2010 July 2010
August 2010
September 2010 October 2010
November 2010
December 2010
January 2011
February 2011 March 2011 April 2011 May 2011 June 2011 July 2011 August 2011 September 2011 October 2011 November 2011 December 2011 January 2012 February 2012 March 2012 April 2012 May 2012 June 2012 July 2012 August 2012 September 2012 October 2012 November 2012 December 2012 January 2013 February 2013 March 2013 April 2013 May 2013 June 2013 July 2013 August 2013 September 2013 October 2013 November 2013 December 2013 January 2014 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 May 2014 June 2014 July 2014 August 2014 September 2014 October 2014 November 2014 December 2014 January 2015 February 2015 March 2015 April 2015 May 2015 June 2015 July 2015 August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015 January 2016 February 2016 March 2016 April 2016 May 2016 June 2016 July 2016 August 2016 September 2016 October 2016 November 2016 December 2016 January 2017 February 2017 March 2017 April 2017 May 2017 June 2017 July 2017 August 2017 September 2017 October 2017 November 2017 December 2017 January 2018 February 2018 March 2018 April 2018 May 2018 June 2018 July 2018 August 2018 September 2018 October 2018 November 2018 December 2018 January 2019 February 2019 March 2019 April 2019 May 2019 June 2019 July 2019 August 2019 September 2019 October 2019 November 2019 December 2019 January 2020 February 2020 March 2020 April 2020 May 2020 June 2020 July 2020 August 2020 September 2020 October 2020 November 2020 December 2020 January 2021 February 2021 March 2021 April 2021 May 2021 June 2021 July 2021 August 2021 September 2021 October 2021 November 2021 December 2021 January 2022 February 2022 March 2022 April 2022 May 2022 June 2022 July 2022 August 2022 September 2022 October 2022 November 2022 December 2022 January 2023 February 2023 March 2023 April 2023 May 2023 June 2023 July 2023 August 2023 September 2023 October 2023 November 2023 December 2023 January 2024 February 2024 March 2024
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
30
31
News Every Day |

Tier 3 ‘disappointing’ given Covid cases are falling and R rate is ‘BELOW 1’, blasts expert

CORONAVIRUS cases are falling and the R rate is below 1 – so more regions ending up in Tier 3 is “disappointing”, a top expert has blasted.

Professor Tim Spector, lead scientist on the ZOE Covid Symptom Study, said data from his team’s app shows new cases fell 14 per cent in a week.

⚠ Read our coronavirus live blog for the latest news & updates

The estimated number of people with symptomatic Covid by region, according to the ZOE Covid Symptom Study app
Alamy
Professor Tim Spector, lead scientist on the ZOE Covid Symptom Study, said data from his team’s app shows new Covid cases fell 14 per cent in a week[/caption]

There are currently 29,311 daily new symptomatic cases of Covid in the UK on average over the two weeks up to November 22, according to app data.

This compares to 34,279 daily new symptomatic cases a week ago.

The app data also suggests the R rate is at 0.9 across England and at 1 in both Wales and Scotland, he said.

Yet 99 per cent of England will be plunged into the harshest Tiers 2 and 3 when the lockdown ends next Wednesday, it was announced today.

Just the Isle of Wight, Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly in the lowers Tier 1 – who will face very little restrictions.

But Prof Spector said the most recent app data, from the fortnight up to Sunday, suggests cases are falling across the country.

The latest data from the Office for National Statistics also showed coronavirus cases are levelling off in England.

The app data suggest the R rate is now just below 1 for the entire country
The estimated rate of people with symptomatic Covid by age also shows a steady fall across all groups

A regional breakdown from the Covid app, which is based on swab test data from five days ago, shows that cases in the North West have now returned to the same levels as mid-September – before the second wave.

While, in the North East and Yorkshire cases are now comparable to where they were at in early October, he said.

For the first time, cases in the Midlands have fallen and the R rate is now at 0.9, while in London and the East of England cases remain stable.

In the South West and South East, the R value has dropped to 0.9 and cases have fallen since this time last week.

Reassuringly, the app shows the number of cases in the over-60s is now either decreasing or stable in every region of the UK.

It’s one of the key measures being used to determine which tier each area is placed in.

The app breakdown of the R rate and daily cases per 100,000 for the fortnight up to November 22

Prof Spector said: “I’m disappointed to see so many regions going into Tier 3 when the latest data suggests that symptomatic cases are continuing to fall.

“Our data shows that the UK R value is now below 1 at 0.9, mirroring ONS data, and probably reflects voluntary behaviour changes.

“Importantly, the NHS continues to cope even with the addition of winter pressure.

“These heavy restrictions may have greater costs to public health than benefits.

“We need to consider more carefully the wider physical, social and mental health implications of excessive mandatory restrictions if they are not justified by the recent data.”

 

He’s not the only scientist that thinks the Government’s route out of the nation’s second lockdown is tough.

Prof Karol Sikora, a cancer specialist and former WHO director, suggested a more localised approach would be better.

He tweeted: “Is the Government’s action balanced and thoughtful? Is it even local?

“Huge areas, with many different situations, have been lumped together and to me it seems too blunt.

“Take Kent. Everywhere in tier three despite huge variations. A more localised approach would be fairer.”

Professor Carl Heneghan, an epidemiologist at Oxford University, claimed the tier system may be “unjustified” and “outdated” based on recent data.

He pointed to recent Government figures, which show new infections halved in a week – from 18,626 last Tuesday to 9,854 seven days later.

If this trend continues, he said that by the time the national lockdown ends next week, the country could be in a similar place to where it was before the second wave in September when there were minimal restrictions.

Speaking on the eve of the tiered announcement last night, he told MailOnline: “By the time we get to December 2 we will be in very different position than we are now, therefore we need to be much more flexible and reactive, and set out clear criteria.

“[There is] no point in saying to people ‘this is where you are now [in terms of Covid] and you’ll be in this tier next week’ — we should be explaining to people the two important criteria that should decide which areas go into which tiers – symptomatic cases and hospital rates.

“For instance, say Kent is announced to be in Tier Three and that it has 50 per cent of hospital beds occupied by Covid patients, you could tell people they have to adjust that to 30 per cent to come out of Tier Three. That’s objective criteria.”

HAPPY TIERS

But not everyone agrees and many experts have suggested that a return to the tier system is to be welcomed.

Dr Flavio Toxvaerd, who specialises in the economics of infectious diseases at the University of Cambridge, said: “The updated tier system is more restrictive than the one that was in place before the lockdown and this could have the desired effect of more effectively keeping infection under control.

“Now that vaccines are on the horizon, it is even more important to redouble our efforts to contain the disease, so more people can make it safely through the winter and benefit from the protection that they provide.”

Prof Jonathan Ball, Professor of Molecular Virology, University of Nottingham, said: “There has been much focus on what the Christmas festivities will be like, but the announcement that much of England will be experiencing severe restrictions up to then is a stark reminder that the virus is very much out there and still circulating freely.

Now that vaccines are on the horizon, it is even more important to redouble our efforts to contain the disease

Dr Flavio ToxvaerdCambridge University

“It will be important for everyone to take the threat seriously and to minimise the risk to themselves and others by reducing social interactions – especially indoors – as much as possible. 

“The announcement of the real possibility of effective vaccines being ready soon provides light at the end of the tunnel.

“So we need to do all that we can between now and then to minimise the harm that the virus can do to vulnerable people in our society and to our NHS. 

“We might have come out of lockdown but that doesn’t mean the party season should commence.”

The Department of Health said decisions on tier levels would be based on a number of factors, including case detection rates in all age groups and, in particular, amongst the over 60s.

How quickly case rates are rising or falling will also be taken into account, as will local pressure on the NHS, including current and projected capacity.

How are the tiers decided?

Decisions on tiers are made by ministers based on public health recommendations informed by the following factors:

  • Case detection rate (in all age groups and, in particular, amongst the over 60s);
  • How quickly case rates are rising or falling;
  • Positivity in the general population;
  • Pressure on the NHS – including current and projected (3-4 weeks out) NHS capacity – including admissions, general/acute/ICU bed occupancy, staff absences; and
  • Local context and exceptional circumstances such as a local but contained outbreak.

In Tier 1, the rule of six applies indoors and outdoors, people are urged to work from home if they can and pubs are limited to table service.

The majority of England will be in Tier 2, where the restrictions mean a ban on households mixing indoors and pubs, and restaurants only able to sell alcohol with a “substantial meal”.

Tier 3 measures mean a ban on households mixing, except in limited circumstances such as parks.

Bars and restaurants will be limited to takeaway or delivery services and people will be advised to avoid travelling outside their area.

Setting out the tiers today, Health Secretary Matt Hancock said: “These are not easy decisions, but they have been made according to the best clinical advice”.

He told MPs: “Thanks to the shared sacrifice of everyone in recent weeks, in following the national restrictions, we have been able to start to bring the virus back under control and slow its growth, easing some of the pressure on the NHS.

“We will do this by returning to a regional tiered approach, saving the toughest measures for the parts of the country where prevalence remains too high.”

Настроение

За что

Top 10 Love Affair Movies of the 2000s and 2010s

Top 5 Websites to Watch FREE Movies - TV Shows (No Sign up!)

I was diagnosed with cancer aged 39… you are never too rich, too famous or too young, says Dr Philippa Kaye

The 10 Intense New Action Movies on Netflix That Left Me on the Edge of My Seat!

Ria.city






Read also

What 2024 Red Sox Season Means For Future Of Boston

Bucks vs. Pelicans Free Live Stream: Time, TV Channel, How to Watch, Odds

‘Skillup Naija’ to empower 50,000 Edo youths

News, articles, comments, with a minute-by-minute update, now on Today24.pro

News Every Day

Top 5 Websites to Watch FREE Movies - TV Shows (No Sign up!)

Today24.pro — latest news 24/7. You can add your news instantly now — here


News Every Day

The 10 Intense New Action Movies on Netflix That Left Me on the Edge of My Seat!



Sports today


Новости тенниса
ATP

Хачанов победил Черундоло и пробился в 1/8 финала турнира ATP в Майами



Спорт в России и мире
Москва

GeekVape в сотрудничестве с Absolute Racing выиграла чемпионат в категории GT3



All sports news today





Sports in Russia today

Москва

GeekVape в сотрудничестве с Absolute Racing выиграла чемпионат в категории GT3


Новости России

Game News

Красочное приключение Lona: Realm Of Colors перенесли на смартфоны


Russian.city


Москва

Перенос дат II этапа культурного проекта «Классика: история и современность» в Дмитрове


Губернаторы России
Россия

В России назвали топ самых благополучных регионов по итогам 2023 года


Заказать недорогой ремонт шкафов купе в Москве и Московской области

Пассажир не успел войти в поезд и разбил стекло вагона на станции «Киевская»

Чем опасны чесночная настойка и другие народные средства для защиты собаки от клещей, объяснил кинолог

Шапки женские вязаные на Wildberries, 2024 — новый цвет от 392 руб. (модель 466)


Творческая встреча с искателем приключений состоится в Симферополе

Композитор, певец Юрий Лоза: «В обществе перестали пестовать авторитет интеллектуального труда»

Концерт "Crush string quartet "с программой «Мировые рок - хиты»

Муж Нетребко Эйвазов перенес концерт на 40 дней из-за теракта в Crocus City Hall


Теннисистка Александрова оказалась сильнее полячки Швентек на турнире WTA в США

Виктория Азаренко вышла в полуфинал турнира WTA-1000 в Майами

Рыбакина о том, что не играла в Индиан-Уэллс из-за болезни: «К сожалению, восстановление заняло много времени»

Чесноков оценил шансы Александровой в борьбе за выход в финал турнира WTA в Майами



Пассажир рейса Москва — Пермь попал в реанимацию

Шапки женские вязаные на Wildberries, 2024 — новый цвет от 392 руб. (модель 466)

Архитектурные доминанты округов Москвы

«Радио Зенит» – информационный партнер форума «Мы вместе. Спорт»


Выпуск ЦФА на платформе «Атомайз» поможет снизить нагрузку на экологию

Актриса Яна Поплавская станет одним из почетных гостей Национальной премии «СВОИМ» в Нижнем Новгороде

Лавров заявил, что сфер сотрудничества России и Запада практически не осталось

В России назвали топ самых благополучных регионов по итогам 2023 года


Эксперт Президентской академии в Санкт-Петербурге: «Государство - драйвер роста капиталовложений в субъекты РФ»

Синоптики спрогнозировали небольшой дождь в Москве 29 марта

Руководители «Светогорского ЦБК» рассказали про новые возможности в целях укрепления технологического суверенитета

БАМ подорожал на триллион: Москва услышала Кожемяко



Путин в России и мире






Персональные новости Russian.city
Диана Арбенина

Певица Диана Арбенина опубликовала редкое фото сына



News Every Day

Top 10 Emmanuelle Seigner Movies




Friends of Today24

Музыкальные новости

Персональные новости